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New York Races

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New York

Outlook: Solid Democratic

August 14, 2006 Update:

It’s still looking like Senator Hillary Clinton will easily pass 60 percent of the vote against Republican John Spencer.

March 27, 2006 Update:

The Republican efforts to find a decent challenger for Senator Hillary Clinton have become an episode of the Keystone Kops. The GOP under Gov. George Pataki has blown it, and it is now simply a question of whether Clinton will receive more that 60 percent of the vote against a weak opponent; we bet that she does.


After practically ignoring her Democratic primary opponent, Senator Hillary Clinton has turned up the heat on Republican John Spencer, who poses no legitimate threat. In the two weeks since the primary, Senator Clinton’s campaign has aggressively attacked Spencer, a former mayor of Yonkers, despite having $22 million while Spencer can not even afford TV ad time, as well as soaring past him in the polls, 62 to 33 percent. “They’ve made a decision to inflate Spencer so they could show the rest of the country that they could defeat a conservative menace,” political strategist Bill Cunningham said in a recent AP story. “If she has no real opponent, there’s no real way to check out her electability nationwide.”

Clare Seekins, Crystal Ball Northeastern Regional Correspondent


Despite occasional rumors, it is now clear that former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani and Governor George Pataki are not running against Senator Hillary Clinton. It looked like Westchester County D.A. Jeanine Pirro would be the GOP nominee, but, at the behest of many in her party, she dropped out to run for state Attorney General instead. Now the frontrunner for the nomination appears to be KT McFarland, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense to Ronald Reagan who threw her hat into the ring in March. Also seeking the chance to run against Clinton are former Yonkers mayor John Spencer and William Brenner, a tax attorney from the Catskills region.

In any event, it’s a Hillary Clinton landslide, with a wonderful opportunity to debut across the nation her 2008 race for President.


Hillary Clinton (I) – Democrat – Second Quarter Raised: $5,679,413 | Cash on Hand: $22,000,937

John Spencer – Republican – Second Quarter Raised: $1,271,425 | Cash on Hand: $646,336

Howie Hawkins – Independent – U.S. Green party co-founder, frequent candidate, affiliated with the Green party