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Debra Leiter and Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Author: Debra Leiter and Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Citizen Forecasting for 2024 President: First Soundings

By Debra Leiter and Michael S. Lewis-BeckPosted May 17, 2023

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Nearly 600 days before the election, an early citizen forecast -- using voters’ expectations of likely election outcomes rather than vote intentions -- estimates an even chance for a Republican or Democratic victory in the 2024 presidential election. -- However, while citizens estimate that...

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