Since the upset victory of Republican Bob Turner (NY-9), pundits have argued over the meaning of the results. One of the more popular beliefs is that President Obama's unpopularity played a large role in the election of a Republican in a Democratic district. Therefore, the reasoning goes, Obama will drag...
Author: Harry Enten
REPUBLICAN SENATE MAJORITY ON THE WAY?
One model says yes
Here at the Crystal Ball we want to encourage the work of promising young political scientists. This week, we are featuring the work of Harry Enten, a student at Dartmouth College who has an interesting take on next year’s Senate elections. Perhaps Harry’s prediction is a bit too optimistic for...