As of yesterday, there were exactly 475 days left until Election Day 2008. Since the Crystal Ball's last Senate update, filed exactly 600 days before the election, there have been a number of interesting developments that merit mention. To begin with, there will now be a total of 34 seats...
Author: Isaac Wood and Larry J. Sabato
THE SCANDAL-TINGED SIX:
Whose campaigns are dead on arrival and who will survive to run again?
Last week the Crystal Ball examined fifteen freshman Representatives (fourteen Democrats and one Republican) who we consider to be endangered in November 2008. As promised, now we turn to part two of our list of the imperiled: the "Scandal-tinged Six." Here, the partisan tables are turned, as five Republicans and...
THE FRESHMAN FIFTEEN
Which House Members Will Carry their Weight in '08?
This month, the Crystal Ball has compiled an endangered species list of sorts: members of the House of Representatives who have their work cut out for them if they seek political survival beyond 2008. At this point, we can sort the vulnerable into two stacks: the "Freshman Fifteen" and the...
OF ASHES AND SASHES
Vacancy Signs Point to a Very "Special" Summer
Just as Ben Franklin assured us of two certainties in life, let the Crystal Ball assure you of two certainties in congressional special elections this year: deaths and taxpayer-funded University posts will be the cause (granted, you won't hear us complaining too much about the latter). We'll explain in a...