2020 Primary and Caucus Cancellations Through the Lens of Recent History

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Republicans in several states have canceled primaries and caucuses in 2020 as President Trump seeks renomination. -- To be sure, the Trump campaign and various state GOP organizations are working to smooth the president’s path to renomination and attempting to reduce any divisiveness within...

A Glossary of National Convention Delegate Allocation

The objective of any presidential campaign seeking the nomination of one of the two major parties is pretty simple: In some way, shape, or form, all the candidates want to win. All other things held equal, those candidates would also like to keep winning, from Iowa to New Hampshire to...

The Republican Presidential Primary Timeline

What we know so far about the GOP nominating process

Before the 2016 presidential election cycle fully enters what might be called delegate selection plan season -- when state parties finalize their plans for allocating delegates to the national conventions next year -- it is important to take a step back and examine the rules changes made at the national...

It’s Early But the 2016 Presidential Primary Calendar is Taking Shape

We’re happy to welcome Davidson College visiting Assistant Professor of Political Science Josh Putnam back to the Crystal Ball. Readers may remember Josh from the last election cycle, when his FrontloadingHQ blog became a must-read for anyone tracking the rules and calendar that governed the 2012 presidential nomination process. This...

PRIMARY MADNESS: DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN

It’s hard to look at the events surrounding the 2012 presidential primary over the last several weeks and not come to the conclusion that it is, in Yogi Berra’s words, deja vu all over again. Not only is it a further and incremental progression of the now-40-year trend that has...