Notes on the State of Politics… and Democracy

How House retirements compare historically, plus a rating change; how Americans think about democracy

Dear Readers: This is the latest edition of Notes on the State of Politics, featuring short updates on elections and politics. First, Managing Editor Kyle Kondik assesses the latest round of House retirements and how this year’s number of incumbents running compares to recent history. Then, Contributing Editor Carah Ong...

Notes on the State of Politics: Aug. 31, 2023

Why Ohio is not a bellwether for 2024; the dangers posed by Generative AI in the looming campaign

Dear Readers: Before we begin today, we wanted to share an offer from our friend Taegan Goddard, who runs Political Wire. Crystal Ball readers can get 20% off a site membership using this link. We highly recommend the site as a place to catch up on the latest political news....