KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- After overestimating Republican performance in 2022, we wanted to give a short explanation to readers about our thinking in the run-up to the election. -- In the end, and with a lot of contradictory information, we thought the indicators pointed more toward the Republicans...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat. -- Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats. -- Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain...
Dear Readers: We just posted a new Crystal Ball webinar on Friday afternoon, which you can watch at this direct link on YouTube. We discussed presidential concession speeches, our successful Electoral College projection, ticket-splitting (or lack thereof), what remains to be counted, and the looming Georgia Senate runoffs in January....
Dear Readers: Due to popular demand, we decided to release a final pre-election Sabato’s Crystal Ball: America Votes webinar. We will be going through our picks for the election. We’ll also hear from Rob Griffin, the research director of the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group, about the demographic changes we...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Joe Biden is better positioned to win the presidency than Donald Trump, but it would be foolish to rule out another Trump upset. -- Trump’s potential winning map would look a lot like 2016, with perhaps a few changes; Biden’s potential winning map might...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Kamala Harris, long seen as a frontrunner to be Joe Biden’s running mate, represents a vetted, qualified, and safe VP choice. -- Harris is the latest in a long line of Democratic senators who have become running mates. If she becomes vice president, Democrats...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and former National Security Adviser Susan Rice enter our list of Joe Biden's vice presidential contenders. -- Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) drops off. -- The top names remain the same. Biden’s VP contenders Our friend, top vice presidential scholar...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Joe Biden should not be in a rush to name his vice presidential pick. Circumstances may change his list of contenders -- and probably already have. -- A predictable name leads our list, but a not-so predictable name is second. -- Biden has many...
