Sifting Through the Results So Far

Dear Readers: We just posted a new Crystal Ball webinar on Friday afternoon, which you can watch at this direct link on YouTube. We discussed presidential concession speeches, our successful Electoral College projection, ticket-splitting (or lack thereof), what remains to be counted, and the looming Georgia Senate runoffs in January....

Final Ratings for the 2020 Election

Biden favored for president; narrow Democratic edge in Senate; Democrats favored to net seats in House

Dear Readers: Due to popular demand, we decided to release a final pre-election Sabato’s Crystal Ball: America Votes webinar. We will be going through our picks for the election. We’ll also hear from Rob Griffin, the research director of the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group, about the demographic changes we...

Biden-Harris: A Predictable Pairing

The presumptive Democratic nominee plays it safe

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Kamala Harris, long seen as a frontrunner to be Joe Biden’s running mate, represents a vetted, qualified, and safe VP choice. -- Harris is the latest in a long line of Democratic senators who have become running mates. If she becomes vice president, Democrats...

Our Revamped VP Rankings

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and former National Security Adviser Susan Rice enter our list of Joe Biden's vice presidential contenders. -- Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) drops off. -- The top names remain the same. Biden’s VP contenders Our friend, top vice presidential scholar...