Demographics and Expectations: Analyzing Biden and Trump’s Performances

Dear Readers: This month, the Center for Politics will be releasing its biennial post-election book, A Return to Normalcy? The 2020 Election That (Almost) Broke America. For this volume, several top journalists, academics, and analysts partnered with the Center for Politics’ team to analyze last year’s historic election. Next week,...

Elasticity in Swing States

Why a state like Wisconsin bounces around a lot more than a state like Florida

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Swing voters are not the same as swing states. This article discusses a metric called “elasticity” for counties, which tracks a county’s variance in vote margin, to help us better identify and draw the distinction between these two. -- In the 2020 election, Republicans...