Let’s suppose the presidential election turns out to be close. How could it play out? The Crystal Ball team analyzed the Electoral College map and plotted out some different scenarios, which we describe and illustrate below. Obama squeaks it out Scenario One: The Fickle Five Defect. Obama’s five closest victories...
Right now, first-term Rep. Rick Berg (R-ND) looks likely to be elected to the Senate seat left open by the retirement of Kent Conrad (D) in November 2012. The Crystal Ball wondered: How rare is it for someone to get such a fast elevation from the House to the Senate?...
In the wee hours of Jan. 20, 2004, one year to Inauguration Day… After a three year build-up, the results are in, and friends, it's a whole new campaign! Turnout total: early estimates near 125,000 So what does it mean?KERRY = COMEBACK KID John Kerry has earned the 2004 title...
