Four Statehouses Switch Parties

Washington battle between Gregoire and Rossi still too close to call

In eleven gubernatorial races spread out from coast to coast, the Crystal Ball accurately forecast at least nine, with the match up between Democratic State Attorney General Christine Gregoire and Republican State Senator Dino Rossi still too close to call and possibly headed for a recount. So far the lone...

Bush Captures Second Term

"Tolerant" blue states and "traditional" red states continue to show their colors

It's impossible to fully understand the results of the 2004 presidential election without first reexamining the 2000 results. The map created by the Bush-Gore race illustrated the country's division into the "tolerant" Blue States and the "traditional" Red States, and appeared to be one that would stay with us for...

2004 as the Bizzaro Election of 1916

All the way back in May, the Crystal Ball explored the possibility of "Bush as Truman" (https://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/LJS2004052001) in order to give some historical perspective for the 2004 election. It seems like eons have passed in the political world since the beginning of the summer, and while we gear up for...

Baseball and the 2004 Election

Yesterday the political world was abuzz with talk of a potential World Series match up between the Boston Red Sox from John Kerry's home state of Massachusetts and the Houston Astros from George Bush's home state of Texas. Never has there been a team from the home state of each...

Boston Morning Tea

Does Edwards have Recipe for Success? Any American chef worth his or her salt knows what happens when you combine black eyed peas, a little bit of ham for flavor, some rice, and a few other ingredients. The result is a traditional Southern side-dish known as Hoppin' John. Last night...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

Get Comfortable and Settle in, as Minuteman Becomes Hour-Man According to a report published in National Journal's Convention Daily, published each morning this week here in Boston, John Kerry's Secret Service nickname is "Minuteman," after the militia members in the Revolutionary War who were charged to be ready at a...

Boston Morning Tea

If a Political Tree Falls in the Woods... With no live network coverage of Tuesday night's convention speeches, their impact on the American public is limited to news highlights, newspaper articles, and word of mouth. Save for keynote speaker Barack Obama and Teresa Heinz Kerry, who closed the evening, most...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

Gentlemen, Start Your Engines While you don't hear the term bandied about much anymore, the hot topic earlier in the campaign season was "NASCAR Dads," 2004's trendy demographic group that was purported to take the place of the quickly-fading-from-popularity "Soccer Moms." NASCAR Dads were often described as middle- to lower...

Boston Morning Tea

Opening Night By the time the second evening session started, most of the seats in the Fleet Center were filled--even those behind the stage, with obstructed views and a less than preferable position behind the speaker clusters. Former President Jimmy Carter led off with an impassioned speech that was very...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

Old Guard, Young Blood Tonight's agenda of speakers shows a marked difference between the first evening session and the second evening session, with a recognizable slate of long-serving Democrats addressing the convention early, and a fresh line up of new faces wrapping up the evening. Other than The O.C.'s Benjamin...

Boston Morning Tea

The gavel drops later today, marking the official opening of the 2004 Democratic National Convention. Of course, convention related activities have been going on for several days now, including a welcome party for media organizations on Saturday. The Crystal Ball resisted the temptation to be wooed, and instead chose to...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

For Whom the Gavel Drops Democratic National Committee chair Terry McAuliffe officially banged the convention to order this afternoon at 4PM, opening the first afternoon session which will feature quite a few speakers and take care of the convention’s parliamentary business in preparation for this evening's prime time agenda. Security...