KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Democratic newcomer candidates spent far more money than in previous cycles, while Republicans' spending numbers stayed stagnant. -- Female candidates enjoyed a cash advantage over male candidates, with an especially large gap among Democrats in open competitive seats. --There has been no observable advantage...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- 2018 governors’ races continued along the same realignment patterns that emerged in the 2016 presidential election. -- An analysis of protest third-party votes for president in 2016 indicates those voters were likelier to pick the Democrats' side in the 2018 election. 2016's changes endured...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The incumbency advantage in U.S. House races, at least during this decade, has been relatively minor. -- There’s no evidence that longer-serving incumbents build a larger incumbency advantage over time. This decade’s marginal incumbency edge It may be the oldest assumption in politics: Incumbents...
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- A surprising result in two special House elections last year, when Democrats ended up coming closer to winning an overlooked race in South Carolina than a nationally-watched contest in Georgia, showed an overreliance on past presidential election history to project House results. -- When...
