GOP Increase House Numbers

Texas redistricting and Bush coattails give Republicans an edge

Partisan redistricting and the overwhelming power of incumbency makes it such that many of the 435 House races each year are either uncontested or finished well before they begin. Texas redistricting gave the GOP an edge in this year's battle for control of the House. The five Texas House races...

Republicans Enlarge Senate Majority

GOP majority now includes 55 senators

Building on the success from the 2002 midterm elections, the Crystal Ball correctly predicted 97 percent of Senate races. In the first hours of election night it was clear that Republicans would enlarge their majority in the upper chamber of Congress, but three contests gave the Crystal Ball a moment...

The Old College Tie

Nobody could have predicted the political circus that ensued on Nov. 8, 2000. With Florida's 25 electoral votes hanging in the balance, a controversial Supreme Court decision ended the 36-day battle for control of the White House. Of all the close elections in the last century, only the 2000 election...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

Make a list; check it twice With President Bush six votes shy of the 270 needed to win the Electoral College--and 24 votes ahead of John Kerry--in The Hotline's White House Scoreboard, tonight's speech may prove to be the moment that wins him reelection. Tonight is George W. Bush's chance...

Big Apple Breakfast

Bush: You either love him or you hate him It's proving to be a pretty divisive time in this political day and age with the number of undecided voters much smaller than usual, just two months out from Election Day. So it was no surprise last night then that retiring...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

Or, should we call it "Low-Speed Convention Wrap" This Crystal Ball udpdate is coming to you live from the National Journal area in the Farley Building, adjacent to Madison Square Garden. In yet another move to make things hard on reporters, the convention folks have made Internet access a near...

Republicans: It’s OK to vote for us

Schwarzenegger stumps for Bush and simplifies the message

The GOP's message for convention viewers this week has been very succinct: President Bush is the best candidate to lead the War on Terror. While the communications office here at the Republican National Convention has been telling the media each day has a theme--tonight's was "People of Compassion"--if the focus...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

Twist and Shout Just as the Republicans did this July in Boston, the Democrats have setup a rapid response center to spin the news coming out of Madison Square Garden. A direct twist of the banner that hung above President Bush when he declared an end to hostilities aboard the...

Big Apple Breakfast

Protest Update: The Crystal Ball Can't Get No Love Two incidents in the past few days have prompted the Crystal Ball to speak out about the protesters, or, if you will, protest the protesters. During the United for Peace and Justice rally on Sunday, as your Crystal Ball was exiting...

Low-Carb Convention Wrap

May We Present the Republican Candidates for U.S. Senate While the focus of this week will be on President Bush, his first-term accomplishments and his plans for another, the Monday morning session showcased seven Republican candidates for Senate. After an introduction by National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chairman George Allen...

Balloons and Confetti a Nominating Convention Make

Just five days ago, John Kerry's pitch at Fenway Park didn't make it past home plate, but his pitch last night to the Democratic National Convention was a home run. Your Crystal Ball will spare you the barrage of cliches reserved for the headlines of today's newspapers, but Kerry was...