Americans Elect to Stay with Two Options

Note: This article originally appeared on Rhodes Cook's political blog. About half of the presidential elections over the last half century have been impacted by a significant third party or independent candidate. This election is unlikely to be one of them. With last month's closure of the ambitious Americans Elect...

Wisconsin Recall: Process Aids Walker

Note: This article is cross-posted from Rhodes Cook's political blog. At this point, the Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election June 5 appears to be Republican incumbent Scott Walker’s to lose. While the bête noire of liberal Democrats and organized labor for his efforts to curtail the collective bargaining rights of state...

OBAMA AND THE PRIMARIES: MORE HERE THAN MEETS THE EYE?

At first glance, the vote from the March Democratic presidential primary in Oklahoma looked like a misprint. The tally from Dewey County showed 86 votes for Randall Terry, 59 votes for Jim Rogers and 47 votes for Barack Obama. Terry is a lightly funded anti-abortion activist. Rogers is a frequent...

ROMNEY AND REAGAN: ELECTORAL PARALLELS

Note: This article is cross-posted from Rhodes Cook's political blog. Unlike some of his Republican rivals, Mitt Romney has spent little time this year comparing himself to Ronald Reagan. But when it comes to their pursuit of the Republican presidential nomination, similarities abound. Both lost their first full-throated bid for...

From Different Angles: Romney and the Primary Vote

Note: This article is cross-posted from Rhodes Cook's political blog. One of Mitt Romney’s basic arguments these days is that he is well ahead of his Republican presidential rivals in both the number of delegates and popular votes won. That is true. But if he goes on to win his...

Romney’s Problems on “Main Street”

Note: This article is cross-posted from Rhodes Cook's political blog. In Republican voting so far this year, it has been evident that Mitt Romney can draw votes in metropolitan areas with their large numbers of well-off, well educated voters. But the Republican front-runner has struggled mightily in many states to...

The Iowa Reversal

Note: This article is cross-posted from Rhodes Cook's political blog. Up and down and all around the 2012 Republican presidential campaign has gone. It has probably been the craziest nominating race in the last generation. And from this vantage point, the weirdest event of all thus far was the changing...

2012 REPUBLICAN RACE: THE FIELD MAY NOT BE CLOSED

Conventional wisdom is that the Republican presidential field is set, and that it is much too late for a new candidate to enter the race. In years past, that would be absolutely correct. Over the last few decades, dozens of primaries and caucuses have been shoe-horned into the opening weeks...

HERMAN CAIN’S FIRST CAMPAIGN

In his recently published autobiography, This is Herman Cain! My Journey to the White House, the Republican presidential candidate details at length his "up by the bootstraps" life history, from his business successes and bout with cancer to the early stages of his 2012 presidential campaign. Barely mentioned was his...

PRIMARY MADNESS: A CALENDAR WE CAN BELIEVE IN

At long last, the 2012 Republican presidential nominating calendar is coming into focus. But it is not all that GOP schedule makers wanted. Rather than a February start in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, Florida’s recent decision to hold its primary Jan. 31 has moved all the other...

Obama’s Ace: No Challenge from the Left (So Far)

In his column in The Wall Street Journal June 23, Republican strategist Karl Rove explained all the reasons why he thought President Barack Obama would likely lose his reelection bid in 2012. Rove made a compelling case: a sour economy that he doubts will improve much before next November; a...

Will Obama Need to Find His Inner “Wilson?”

Take a poll of political pundits about next year’s presidential election, and most at this point would probably predict that President Barack Obama would win reelection, but with a reduced margin from 2008 in both the popular and electoral vote. Yet if that actually happens, it would be an historical...