THE SIXTH YEAR ITCH Hits Shelves

Chapter Excerpts from the Newly Available Book on the 2006 Midterms

The Sixth Year Itch contains original chapters by political scholar and commentator Larry J. Sabato, as well as contributed chapters by prominent journalists and scholars who are on the political frontlines. Each essay offers trenchant commentary and unique insights into the campaigns, the issues and the strategies of parties and...

Crystal Ball Condolences for Virginia Tech

The Crystal Ball will not publish this week in honor of our friends and colleagues at Virginia Tech, and in memory of the student and faculty victims and their families. The insanity of senseless death is no stranger to any sector of society, here or abroad. But all of us...

BRIGHT REFLECTIONS ON THE CRYSTAL BALL

Reader Responses on Potential VP Candidates

Last week, tongue firmly planted in cheek, the Crystal Ball endeavored to quash all of the much-too-early talk of potential vice presidential candidates with our own extensive list of the top candidates for the number two spot on each party's presidential ticket in 2008 (read more). Because we are still...

Dear Friends,

I hope that this Thanksgiving finds you in the best of spirits. As this thrilling election season winds down, I would like to take a moment to tell you more about the University of Virginia Center for Politics. I hope that our mission and activities might inspire you to include...

9th Annual American Democracy Conference

Center for Politics and The Hotline partner for Washington, DC event

Elections are the seminal event in the life of our democracy. Not only do they set the direction of our republic, campaigns and elections help to shed light on America's state of political health. It is altogether fitting then, that an examination of our democracy and its current state take...

June 13 Primary Results and Analysis

A handful of states select Senate and gubernatorial nominees

The tradition in American politics has been for campaign season to unofficially kick off on Labor day, as candidates, campaigns, voters and journalists return from August vacations and focus their attention on the remaining nine weeks before Election Day. However--just as the presidential nomination process starts earlier and earlier--Congressional and...

International Youth Democracy Summit

Summer conference opportunity for exceptional high school students

If you know high school students who are bright and civically engaged, they need to participate in the International Youth Democracy Summit. From August 7-12, 2006, the University of Virginia through the coordination of the Center for Politics will host the International Youth Democracy Summit. This once-in-a-lifetime event will gather...

The 2005 American Democracy Conference

Setting the Table: The 2005 Off Year Elections and the 2006 Midterm Elections

The Crystal Ball will return soon with updated commentary and analysis for next year's 2006 midterm elections, as well as another look to the 2008 presidential contest. In the meantime, quench your thirst for perspicacious political ponderings and predictions by attending the 8th Annual American Democracy Conference, presented by the...

South Dakota Senate 2004

Democrat Tom Daschle defends his seat against John Thune

Aside from Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry, South Dakota Senator Tom Daschle sits atop the Republican hit list in this electoral cycle. Republicans eye him as the front man for obstructing their legislation and judicial nominees in the Senate. Now, they have a strong candidate gunning for Daschle, former Congressman...

Missouri Senate 2004

Republican Kit Bond defends his seat against Nancy Farmer

Missourians, as you may have heard from pundits, have the unique ability to refer to their home as a "microcosm" of American Politics—at least in presidential races. For over the past century, Missouri voters have sided correctly with every presidential contest victor, save one: Adlai Stevenson in 1956. The balanced...

Wisoncsin Senate 2004

Democrat Russ Feingold defends his seat against Tim Michels

For years, Senator Russ Feingold has proven himself as a tenacious underdog who has always beat the odds. He squeaked his way through a three-way Democratic primary with less money than his opponents by using quirky, catchy television ads as his two opponents tore each other apart. He then went...

South Carolina Senate 2004

Republican Jim DeMint faces Democrat Inez Tenenbaum

With the retirement of Senator Ernest "Fritz" Hollings, the Republican Party has been poised to take this seat in one of the most conservative states in the union. After a tight primary that led to a runoff, the ball was handed to Representative Jim DeMint and the field was wide...

Oklahoma Senate 2004

Republican Tom Coburn faces Democrat Brad Carson

With the retirement of Republican senator Don Nickles, an interesting contest has broken out between two self-described outsiders: physician and former Representative Tom Coburn for the Republicans, and Representative Brad Carson for the Democrats. Several factors have nudged this race left and right, but have eventually leveled out right down...

Florida Senate 2004

Republican Mel Martinez faces Democrat Betty Castor

With his failed bid for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2004, Senator Bob Graham of Florida announced his retirement from the United States Senate. The political juggernaut of Florida who won his last two races for the Senate with at least 62 percent of the vote is now gone; the...

Louisiana Senate 2004

Three Democrats and two Republicans vie for Louisiana's open seat

With Louisiana’s open primary system, the slate of candidates facing voters on Election Day isn’t as simple as one Democrat against one Republican. Any number of candidates from any party may enter the race, but to be declared the winner, one must secure a majority of votes. In a race...