Join us for the American Democracy Conference in Charlottesville

Conference will be livestreamed next Thursday

Next Thursday, Jan. 24, the University of Virginia Center for Politics will host its 20th annual American Democracy Conference in Charlottesville. The event will be held at Alumni Hall, 211 Emmet St. South, on the Grounds of the University of Virginia. It is free and open to the public with...

How’d we do in 2018? A final update

Editor’s Note: Three quick notes this week: 1. Our First-Ever Name Our Post-Election Book Contest: We’re pleased to announce that our book looking back on the 2018 midterms and ahead to 2020 will come out in April 2019 and will be published by Rowman and Littlefield. The book is as...

Cruz, Schiff highlight Center for Politics’ 20th annual American Democracy Conference

Thursday morning conference in Washington will be available via livestream

Today from 9 a.m. to 1 p.m., the University of Virginia Center for Politics hosts the 20th annual American Democracy Conference in Washington D.C. The conference will feature Rep. Adam Schiff (D, CA-28), the likely next chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), who just won...

New polls: Democrats lead marquee Florida races; Arizona Senate, Kansas governor effectively tied

The final pre-election Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics state-level polls of this election cycle shows Democratic candidates leading for the Sunshine State’s high-profile gubernatorial and Senate contests, while the open-seat Senate race in Arizona and the battle for the open Kansas governorship are effectively tied. These are the second...

New polls: Nevada, Texas, Wisconsin

Republicans lead in Nevada, Democrats in Wisconsin; Cruz ahead in high-profile Texas Senate race

New Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls show Republicans ahead in key races in Nevada and Texas, while Democrats lead in the Wisconsin Senate race and both parties are locked in a close race for the Badger State’s governorship. These are the second polls that Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics...

New polls: Rauner in big trouble in Illinois; McCaskill, Hawley locked in tied Missouri Senate race

Missouri likely voters mixed on McCaskill’s no vote on Kavanaugh

Two new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls show Democrats well on their way to picking up a key gubernatorial seat, while both parties are locked in a tied race in one of the most pivotal Senate races in the country. In Illinois, businessman J.B Pritzker (D) leads Gov....

New polls: Democrats in decent shape across the Frost Belt

Democratic Senate incumbents with big leads in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; very close races in Indiana Senate and Ohio governor; Scott Walker behind in Wisconsin

A series of new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls found Democrats ahead in a host of Senate and gubernatorial races in five mostly Midwest states that President Trump carried in 2016, in some cases by sizable margins. However, the polling did find two very close contests for Indiana...

New polls: Tight Senate races across the Sun Belt

Florida, Texas effectively tied; mixed bag for both parties in Arizona, Nevada

A series of new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls found close races in the key Senate battlegrounds of Arizona, Florida, Nevada, and Texas. The polls, conducted online in English from Sept. 5 to 17 with roughly 2,000 respondents per state (narrowed down to about 1,000 likely voters per...

Center for Politics, Ipsos Public Affairs release new midterm election forecasting tools

New Political Atlas features expert race ratings, poll-based forecasts, and social media trends in advance of the 2018 election

(WASHINGTON, DC) -- The University of Virginia Center for Politics and Ipsos today launched the UVA Center for Politics-Ipsos Political Atlas. The new site combines Sabato’s Crystal Ball race ratings for every House, Senate, and gubernatorial race; Ipsos’ poll-based modeling; and Ipsos’ tracking of social media trends. Ipsos and the...

Center for Politics, Ipsos Public Affairs partner to release new midterm election forecasting tools

Briefing will discuss outlook for the 2018 midterm and unveil new forecasting site

The University of Virginia Center for Politics and Ipsos invite members of the media to the launch of their new 2018 Political Atlas -- an interactive tool providing unique data on the 2018 midterm elections -- at the National Press Club, Tuesday, August 28, 10-11 a.m. Larry J. Sabato, Founder...

New Poll: Americans Strongly Support Term Limits for Judges

Whatever price elected Republicans eventually pay for standing by President Donald J. Trump -- and every party eventually pays at least some price for holding the White House -- one could argue that Republicans have already gotten enough from Trump to justify backing him. In his always-interesting quarterly report, GOP...

Center for Politics/Ipsos poll: Just Half of Americans Believe Elections Are Fair and Open

New national survey shows Americans critical of big money in politics, supportive of disclosure, but skeptical of judicial intervention

  Editor's Note: This is the first of two issues of the Crystal Ball this week. We will also have an issue Thursday, July 19.   Only about half of American adults believe elections are fair and open, and large majorities of Americans express skepticism about big money in politics...