RED DAWN: GOP REVIVAL FOR 2010 HOUSE?

Republicans will pick up substantially, but fall short of full control

While the next slate of House elections does not occur until 2010, congressmen and their challengers certainly don't take off the "off-year." Instead, this year is a crucial one for the parties who must prove their recruiting chops, for the incumbents who seek big fundraising numbers and positive headlines, and...

Is the GOP on the cusp of another 1994?

All sound electoral predictions are grounded in history. Astute observers look back over the electoral landscape of the past and pick the bits and pieces of past years that match the conditions of the present. The upcoming House of Representatives elections in 2010 require the same approach. With that in...

Forecasting the Midterm Elections

An Early Look at What to Expect in 2010

COPYRIGHT 2009 SABATO'S CRYSTAL BALL The 2010 midterm election is still 14 months away. Fourteen months is a lifetime in politics. We don't know how many House and Senate incumbents from each party will be retiring, how many incumbents from each party will be facing serious challengers or what the...

HOUSE SCHEMES AND PIPE DREAMS

The GOP's list of 70 House targets debunked

It's a game both parties play: pretend that this will be the year you go on the offensive in places where your candidate is, in reality, as likely to win American Idol as the November general election. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dutifully played their part on July 31,...

HOT HOUSE 2010

The Upcoming Contests for the U.S. House of Representatives

We are barely into the two-year term for the current House of Representatives, but you can be sure that the 2010 contests have already begun. That is especially true for members of the House who are in two-party competitive districts. For them, it is a permanent campaign. Relatively few incumbents...

HOUSE RACE SPECIAL: EXTRA INNINGS!

Special Election Recaps and Previews

The Washington Nationals aren't the only D.C. team off to a disappointing start. House Republicans have already lost one special election contest, and the rest of the special election schedule looks bleak as well. And don't forget the extra innings effort in NY-20, which Republicans have all but lost. In...

House Special Report

Previewing the Three Special Elections on Tap

If the November 2008 election was the equivalent of a Democratic tidal wave crashing on the United States, the special elections held earlier that year should have been the early warning system. Before any ballots were cast on November 4, Democrats had already captured three previously-Republican seats in 2008. These...