KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Senate retirements are not having a dramatic effect on the partisan odds in any race so far. -- Democrats have missed on some Senate recruits, and that may (or may not) matter in the long run. -- Alabama and Colorado remain the likeliest states...
Category: 2020 Senate
Tennessee Politics: From Boss Crump to Howard Baker to . . . Marsha Blackburn?
GOP position in Volunteer State strengthening as another open-seat Senate race looms
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The nomination of now-Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) for Tennessee's open-seat Senate race last year represented a rightward shift for state Republicans. -- Blackburn's clear victory over former Gov. Phil Bredesen (D) last year means the GOP is well-positioned to hold another open Senate seat...
Senate 2020: Republican exposure on paper, but not necessarily in practice
GOP defending a lot of turf, but much of it is dark red
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Of the 34 Senate races on the ballot in 2020, Republicans already control 22 of them while Democrats hold only 12. That represents something of a role reversal from 2018, when Democrats had to defend 26 of 35 seats being contested. -- Still, Republicans...
Trump to the rescue? Presidential campaigning and the 2018 U.S. Senate elections
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- There is not much evidence that President Trump's rallies held for GOP Senate candidates had much of an effect on the results. -- At the very least, two other factors were significantly more important: The normal partisan lean of the states where those contests...
The Senate: How 2018 sets up 2020
Keeping an eye on the next map in this cycle’s closing stretch
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The 2018 Senate races are important not just for determining the majority next January, but also for setting up both parties for the next election. -- Republicans are defending almost double the seats that Democrats are defending in 2020, something of a reversal from...