The Atlas of Post-Dobbs Abortion Ballot Measures: Part One

Comparing ballot issues to partisan races in KS, OH, and MI

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Since the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decisions last year, seven states have held abortion-related ballot issues, and abortion rights advocates have won all seven contests. -- In Kansas and Michigan, the pro-abortion rights side broadly outperformed the winning Democratic nominees for governor. -- In Ohio,...

Leaning Into State Trends: The West Coast

Also some larger observations on how all the states have trended

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The West Coast states have all been Democratic-leaning in nearly every recent presidential election. -- One exception was Oregon, which leaned slightly right of the nation in 2000, although it is now a solidly blue state. -- Looking nationally, Biden was the best-performing recent...

Liz Cheney to Serve as Professor of Practice with UVA Center for Politics

Former Congresswoman to offer guest lectures in classes and public events as well as participate in research

The Center for Politics at the University of Virginia announced Wednesday that former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) has accepted an appointment to serve as a Professor of Practice with the Center for Politics. The inaugural appointment is effective immediately and will run through the conclusion of the 2023 fall semester...

JFK Records Reveal Intense Level of Secrecy by CIA During Investigation of Assassination

Hoffa Sought King’s Help in Getting Bobby Kennedy to “Lay Off”

Calling it “the tip of the iceberg,” Professor Larry J. Sabato and the Center for Politics at UVA released details today of new information discovered in records released by the National Archives last month from the collection of President John F. Kennedy Assassination Records. Among the findings was a previously...

Midterm 2022: Not a Referendum, But a Choice

House, Senate remain up for grabs as GOP largely underperforms

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Republicans enjoyed a wave-style environment in a few states -- but Democrats showed impressive strength in much of the rest of the country. -- The GOP’s lack of discipline in candidate selection cost them a number of races. -- It remains too early to truly...

Center for Politics to Honor U.S. Capitol and D.C. Metropolitan Police Officers with First “Defender of Democracy” Award

The Center for Politics at the University of Virginia will honor the service of U.S. Capitol Police and D.C. Metropolitan Police officers who defended the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 with the presentation of the Center’s first annual “Defender of Democracy” award. This year’s inaugural award recipients will be...

Notes on the State of Politics: August 3, 2022

Abortion rights supporters win first post-Roe ballot battle; Senate Republicans avoid a headache in Missouri; Trumpy Arizona; and more

Dear Readers: This is the latest edition of Notes on the State of Politics, which features short updates on elections and politics. After last night’s big primaries, we go state-by-state below and assess the takeaways, starting with the most notable result of the evening -- a decisive victory for abortion rights supporters...

Making Polls Work (Again)

An excerpt from G. Elliott Morris’s new history of polling

Dear Readers: We’re pleased to feature an excerpt from G. Elliott Morris’s new book, Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them. Morris is a data journalist at the Economist whose work has previously appeared in the Crystal Ball. In this excerpt, Morris addresses some of the...

The Dissipating Political Impact of Jan. 6

Trump’s standing -- and that of his party -- does not appear diminished

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- A recurring theme during Donald Trump’s presidency was the emergence of seemingly very negative and very damaging stories that ultimately did not appear to do him long-term harm. -- It may be that Jan. 6, when Trump’s unsubstantiated allegations of fraud in the 2020...

New Hampshire: The Fallout from Sununu’s Choice

Gubernatorial race moves to Safe Republican, but GOP still lacks a top challenger to Hassan

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Republicans are still looking for a challenger to Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) after Gov. Chris Sununu (R-NH) surprisingly passed on running against her next year. -- Sununu’s decision to run for reelection means Republicans are heavy favorites to hold onto the New Hampshire governorship....