Why Ohio Picks the President

A preview of Kyle Kondik's new book on Ohio, The Bellwether

Dear Readers: This essay is adapted from Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik's new book, The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President, which is now available. As the nation turns its eyes to Cleveland next week, Kondik explains why his home state is seemingly always a reflection of national presidential...

Who Will Win the Nominations? Lessons from Iowa and New Hampshire

The American presidential nomination process gives enormous influence to two small and, in many ways, highly unrepresentative states: Iowa and New Hampshire. Not only are Iowa and New Hampshire sparsely populated states without any major metropolitan areas -- Des Moines is the 89th largest metro area in the U.S. and...

“Bombs Away” Tackles LBJ, Goldwater and 1964 Election

Ushered in age of negative campaign ads, highlighted by “Daisy” spot

Marking the 50th anniversary of the groundbreaking 1964 presidential campaign, the University of Virginia Center for Politics and Community Idea Stations have released the first trailer for their latest documentary, Bombs Away: LBJ, Goldwater and the 1964 Campaign that Changed It All. Scheduled for nationwide and international release later this...

Politico, Crystal Ball announce new partnership

The University of Virginia Center for Politics and Politico are pleased to announce an exclusive media partnership to offer readers interactive ratings from Sabato’s Crystal Ball on Senate, House, and gubernatorial races. The new feature on Politico’s website shows which way the Center believes a race is leaning each week...

Notes on the State of Politics

Some short takes on what's going on in the world of politics: Ponzi scheme comments might not hurt Perry… in primaries During the Tea Party debate last week, Mitt Romney harshly criticized Gov. Rick Perry for his description of Social Security as a "Ponzi scheme." Romney went so far as...

The Geography of Power: A Political Map of Virginia

Every 10 years the quietly methodical Census leads to blood on the floor of most state legislatures, as members try to convert the population numbers into districts from which they and their fellow politicians in the U.S. House will run for reelection. If anything, there’s even more blood flowing than...

American Democracy Conference looks ahead to 2010 elections

University of Virginia Center for Politics and POLITICO to partner for midterm preview

Thursday, Dec. 3, 2009, 1 to 5 p.m. The Newseum, Washington, DC Please join the University of Virginia Center for Politics and POLITICO for the 11th annual American Democracy Conference. This year's post-election conference will bring together today's leading journalists, party insiders, and political analysts to examine the year's key...

Ballot Placement Journal Articles

The following scholarly articles concern the effect of ballot placement on the behavior of voters. For each article we have included a short summary and/or the article's abstract to assist interested readers in finding pertinent sources of information. Where possible, we have included a link to the article which can...

Lieutenant Governors and the Governorship, 1984-2009

Table 1. Lieutenant Governors Who Became Governor Notes: Italics in the years of LG service indicate a gap between the end of Lt. Governor and Governor service * Arizona, Oregon and Wyoming have no Lt. Governor; the Secretary of State is next-in-line to succeed the governor ** After becoming Governor...

“Questioning the Constitution” Documentary Wins International Award of Excellence

International Academy of the Visual Arts Honors Center for Politics and Community Ideas Station Produced Film

"Questioning the Constitution," a 2008 documentary produced by the University of Virginia Center for Politics and the Community Ideas Stations, has received the Award of Excellence, given annually by the International Academy of Visual Arts (IAVA). The Award of Excellence is the IAVA's highest distinction. The organization receives more than...

New Jersey Governor Showdown

Before we dive into New Jersey's surprisingly intriguing 2009 race for governor, let us premise everything that follows on the fact that any Republican running in New Jersey enters the batter's box with two strikes, two outs, nobody on, and down two runs. Let us not kid ourselves, here. That...