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Electoral College ratings changes

July 14, 2020

State Old Rating New Rating
Alaska Safe Republican Likely Republican
Indiana Safe Republican Likely Republican
Kansas Safe Republican Likely Republican
Missouri Safe Republican Likely Republican
Montana Safe Republican Likely Republican
South Carolina Safe Republican Likely Republican
Utah Safe Republican Likely Republican

June 25, 2020

State Old Rating New Rating
Florida Leans Republican Toss-up
Pennsylvania Toss-up Leans Democratic

April 2, 2020

State Old Rating New Rating
Colorado Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
Maine Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
North Carolina Leans Republican Toss-up

Nov. 7, 2019

State Old Rating New Rating
Virginia Leans Democratic Likely Democratic

Sept. 19, 2019

State Old Rating New Rating
New Hampshire Toss-up Leans Democratic

Senate ratings changes

Aug. 5, 2020

Senator Old Rating New Rating
Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) Leans Republican Likely Republican
Joni Ernst (R-IA) Leans Republican Toss-up

July 9, 2020

Senator Old Rating New Rating
David Perdue (R-GA) Likely Republican Leans Republican

April 30, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Dan Sullivan (R-AK) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Lindsey Graham (R-SC) Safe Republican Likely Republican

April 2, 2020

Senator Old Rating New Rating
Martha McSally (R-AZ) Toss-up Leans Democratic
David Perdue (R-GA) Leans Republican Likely Republican
Susan Collins (R-ME) Leans Republican Toss-up

March 9, 2020

Senator Old Rating New Rating
Steve Daines (R-MT) Likely Republican Leans Republican

Feb. 20, 2020

Senator Old Rating New Rating
Doug Jones (D-AL) Leans Republican Likely Republican
Cory Gardner (R-CO) Toss-up Leans Democratic

Jan. 16, 2020

Senator Old Rating New Rating
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
Mark Warner (D-VA) Likely Democratic Safe Democratic

Oct. 3, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
Doug Jones (D-AL) Toss-up Leans Republican
Thom Tillis (R-NC) Leans Republican Toss-up

Aug. 28, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
GA Special (Isakson, R) Not rated Leans Republican

July 8, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
KS Open (Roberts, R) Safe Republican Likely Republican

March 25, 2019

Senator Old Rating New Rating
NM Open (Udall, D) Safe Democratic Likely Democratic

Governor ratings changes

July 14, 2020

Governor Old Rating New Rating
Mike Parson (R-MO) Likely Republican Leans Republican

May 7, 2020

Governor Old Rating New Rating
Roy Cooper (D-NC) Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
Chris Sununu (R-NH) Leans Republican Likely Republican
Phil Scott (R-VT) Leans Republican Likely Republican

Jan. 16, 2020

Governor Old Rating New Rating
Phil Scott (R-VT) Likely Republican Leans Republican

Nov. 14, 2019

Governor Old Rating New Rating
John Bel Edwards (D-LA) Toss-up Leans Democratic

Oct. 12, 2019

Governor Old Rating New Rating
John Bel Edwards (D-LA) Leans Democratic Toss-up

Aug. 22, 2019

Governor Old Rating New Rating
Jay Inslee (D-WA) Likely Democratic Safe Democratic

House ratings changes

July 23, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
French Hill (R, AR-2) Likely Republican Leans Republican
IA-2 Open (Loebsack, D) Toss-up Leans Democratic
Richard Hudson (R, NC-8) Likely Republican Leans Republican
Xochitl Torres Small (D, NM-2) Toss-up Leans Democratic
Mike Turner (R, OH-10) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Joe Wilson (R, SC-2) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Chip Roy (R, TX-21) Leans Republican Toss-up
Ron Kind (D, WI-3) Safe Democratic Likely Democratic

July 2, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
David Schweikert (R, AZ-6) Likely Republican Leans Republican
Katie Porter (D, CA-45) Likely Democratic Safe Democratic
IN-5 Open (Brooks, R) Leans Republican Toss-up
Antonio Delgado (D, NY-19) Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
Peter DeFazio (D, OR-4) Safe Democratic Likely Democratic
Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-1) Likely Republican Leans Republican
Dan Crenshaw (R, TX-2) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Van Taylor (R, TX-3) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Roger Williams (R, TX-25) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Ron Wright (R, TX-6) Safe Republican Likely Republican

June 30, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
CO-3 Open (Tipton, R) Likely Republican Leans Republican

June 14, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
VA-5 Open (Riggleman, R) Likely Republican Leans Republican

June 2, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
IA-4 Open (King, R) Likely Republican Safe Republican

May 21, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Josh Harder (D, CA-10) Likely Democratic Safe Democratic

May 14, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
MI-3 Open (Amash, L) Toss-up Leans Republican

April 23, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Angie Craig (D, MN-2) Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
Dan Bishop (R, NC-9) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Don Bacon (R, NE-2) Toss-up Leans Republican
Andy Kim (D, NJ-3) Toss-up Leans Democratic
Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-1) Leans Republican Likely Republican
John Carter (R, TX-31) Leans Republican Likely Republican
Ron Kind (D, WI-3) Likely Democratic Safe Democratic

April 9, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Tom McClintock (R, CA-4) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Devin Nunes (R, CA-22) Likely Republican Safe Republican
CA-25 Special (Hill, D) Leans Democratic Toss-up

Feb. 6, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Josh Harder (D, CA-10) Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
Mario Diaz-Balart (R, FL-25) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Brian Mast (R, FL-18) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Mike Bost (R, IL-12) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Tim Walberg (R, MI-7) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Jim Hagedorn (R, MN-1) Likely Republican Leans Republican
Pete Stauber (R, MN-8) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Antonio Delgado (D, NY-19) Toss-up Leans Democratic
Troy Balderson (R, OH-12) Leans Republican Likely Republican
Dave Joyce (R, OH-14) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-1) Toss-up Leans Republican
Mike Kelly (R, PA-16) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Lizzie Fletcher (D, TX-7) Likely Democratic Leans Democratic
Ben McAdams (D, UT-4) Toss-up Leans Democratic
Kim Schrier (D, WA-8) Leans Democratic Likely Democratic
WI-7 Special (Duffy, R) Likely Republican Safe Republican

Jan. 16, 2020

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
CA-50 Vacant (Hunter, R) Likely Republican Safe Republican

Dec. 15, 2019
Change prompted by Van Drew party switch

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Jeff Van Drew (R, NJ-2) Leans Democratic Leans Republican

Dec. 3, 2019
Changes prompted by NC redistricting

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Ted Budd (R, NC-13) Likely Republican Safe Republican
George Holding (R, NC-2) Likely Republican Safe Democratic
Richard Hudson (R, NC-8) Safe Republican Likely Republican
Mark Walker (R, NC-6) Safe Republican Safe Democratic

Nov. 11, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
NY-2 Open (King, R) Likely Republican Leans Republican

Oct. 29, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Conor Lamb (D, PA-17) Safe Democratic Likely Democratic

Oct. 27, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
CA-25 Special (Hill, D) Likely Democratic Leans Democratic

Sept. 10, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Greg Murphy (R, NC-3) Likely Republican Safe Republican
Dan Bishop (R, NC-9) Toss-up Likely Republican

Sept. 5, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
NC-3 Special (Jones, R) Safe Republican Likely Republican
NC-9 Vacant/Special Leans Republican Toss-up

Sept. 2, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Collin Peterson (D, MN-7) Leans Democratic Toss-up

Aug. 26, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
WI-7 Special (Duffy, R) Safe Republican Likely Republican

Aug. 5, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
TX-24 Open (Marchant, R) Leans Republican Toss-up

Aug. 1, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
NC-9 Vacant/Special Toss-up Leans Republican
TX-23 Open (Hurd, R) Toss-up Leans Democratic

July 25, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
TX-22 Open (Olson, R) Leans Republican Toss-up

July 18, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
T.J. Cox (D, CA-21) Likely Democratic Leans Democratic

July 4, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
Rep. Justin Amash (I, MI-3) Likely Republican Toss-up

June 14, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
IN-5 Open (Brooks, R) Safe Republican Leans Republican

April 12, 2019

Member/District Old Rating New Rating
IA-2 Open (Loebsack, D) Likely Democratic Toss-up
Tom Malinowski (D, NJ-7) Likely Democratic Leans Democratic