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Electoral College rating changes
Nov. 4, 2024
State/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Arizona |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Georgia |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Iowa |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Michigan |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
NE-1 |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Nevada |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
North Carolina |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Pennsylvania |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Wisconsin |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 25, 2024
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NE-2 |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Aug. 20, 2024
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
North Carolina |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Aug. 7, 2024
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Georgia |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
New Hampshire |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Aug. 6, 2024
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Minnesota |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
July 3, 2024
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Michigan |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Minnesota |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
June 13, 2024
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Alaska |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Georgia |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Iowa |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
ME-2 |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Ohio |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Pennsylvania |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Senate rating changes
Nov. 4, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Ted Cruz (R-TX) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 24, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Deb Fischer (R-NE) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Sept. 25, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Deb Fischer (R-NE) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Sept. 6, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Jon Tester (D-MT) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Sept. 5, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Angus King (I-ME) |
Likely Independent |
Safe Independent |
June 13, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Bob Casey (D-PA) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
April 17, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
AZ Open (Sinema, I) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Feb. 9, 2024
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
MD Open (Cardin, D) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Nov. 9, 2023
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
WV Open (Manchin, D) |
Leans Republican |
Safe Republican |
Governor rating changes
Nov. 4, 2024
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NH Open (Sununu, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 4, 2024
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
IN Open (Holcomb, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Sept. 19, 2024
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NC Open (Cooper, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Aug. 28, 2024
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NC Open (Cooper, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
June 4, 2024
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Phil Scott (R-VT) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
July 19, 2023
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NH Open (Sununu, R) |
Likely Republican |
Toss-up |
July 13, 2023
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
WA Open (Inslee, D) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Jan. 19, 2023
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Tate Reeves (R-MS) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
House rating changes
Nov. 4, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Mary Peltola (D, AK-AL) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Juan Ciscomani (R, AZ-6) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Dave Schweikert (R, AZ-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
John Duarte (R, CA-13) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Mike Garcia (R, CA-27) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Michelle Steel (R, CA-45) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Yadira Caraveo (D, CO-8) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
M. Miller-Meeks (R, IA-1) |
Leans Republican |
Leans Democratic |
Eric Sorensen (D, IL-17) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
MD-6 Open (Trone, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Jared Golden (D, ME-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
MI-7 Open (Slotkin, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
MI-8 Open (Kildee, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Angie Craig (D, MN-2) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Nick LaLota (R, NY-1) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Pat Ryan (D, NY-18) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Marc Molinaro (R, NY-19) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Matt Cartwright (D, PA-8) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
L. Chavez-DeRemer (R, OR-5) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
M. Gluesenkamp Perez (D, WA-3) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 24, 2024
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Eli Crane (R, AZ-2) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
David Valadao (R, CA-22) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Don Davis (D, NC-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Emilia Sykes (D, OH-13) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Susan Wild (D, PA-7) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 30, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Don Bacon (R, NE-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 19, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Mary Peltola (D, AK-AL) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Michelle Steel (R, CA-45) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
CA-47 Open (Porter, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Mike Lawler (R, NY-17) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Derrick Van Orden (R, WI-3) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
July 31, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Yadira Caraveo (D, CO-8) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
CO-3 Open (Boebert, R) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R, IA-1) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
June 26, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
CO-5 Open (Lamborn, R) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
June 5, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NJ-3 Open (Kim, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
May 3, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Henry Cuellar (D, TX-28) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
April 24, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Scott Perry (R, PA-10) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
April 17, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Juan Ciscomani (R, AZ-6) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Feb. 28, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Anthony D’Esposito (R, NY-4) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Tom Suozzi (D, NY-3) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Brandon Williams (R, NY-22) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Feb. 14, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Tom Suozzi (D, NY-3) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Feb. 7, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Ashley Hinson (R, IA-2) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Lauren Underwood (D, IL-14) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
Jared Golden (D, ME-2) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Don Bacon (R, NE-2) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Greg Landsman (D, OH-1) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Vicente Gonzalez (D, TX-34) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Kim Schrier (D, WA-8) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Jan. 22, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Garret Graves (R, LA-6) |
Safe Republican |
Safe Democratic |
Jan. 10, 2024
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
CO-5 Open (Lamborn, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Nov. 16, 2023
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
MI-8 Open (Kildee, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
|
Nov. 13, 2023
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
VA-7 Open (Spanberger, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Oct. 26, 2023
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Kathy Manning (D, NC-6) |
Toss-up |
Safe Republican |
Wiley Nickel (D, NC-13) |
Toss-up |
Safe Republican |
Jeff Jackson (D, NC-14) |
Toss-up |
Safe Republican |
Oct. 4, 2023
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Barry Moore (R, AL-2) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Democratic |
Sept. 26, 2023
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
MD-6 Open (Trone, D) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
NJ-3 Open (Kim, D) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Sept. 7, 2023
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Marcy Kaptur (D, OH-9) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Greg Landsman (D, OH-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
April 5, 2023
District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Bryan Steil (R, WI-1) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |