Dear Readers: On Thursday at 2 p.m. eastern, we'll be devoting our new episode of our Sabato's Crystal Ball: America...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The Trial-Heat and Convention Bump Forecasting Models have an excellent record for accurate predictions...

Dear Readers: Join us tomorrow at 2 p.m. eastern for the latest edition of our new Sabato's Crystal Ball: America...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Joe Biden is better positioned to win the presidency than Donald Trump, but it...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Democrats hope they don’t get a repeat of the 2016 presidential race in the...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Perceptions of the presidential race could have some impact down the ballot. -- Ticket-splitting...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- In the past decade, four governors faced either a criminal case or sexual misconduct...

Join Larry J. Sabato and the Crystal Ball team tomorrow (Thursday, Sept. 3) at 2 p.m. eastern for the next...

Dear Readers: In the next installment of our States of Play series -- in which we are taking an in-depth...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The most critical moments in the 2020 election will come after Election Day, Nov....

Dear Readers: In the next installment of our States of Play series -- in which we'll be taking an in-depth...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Several national pollsters conducted surveys on the eve of the convention season in both...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- While there is a legitimate debate about the public utility of forecast models, these...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Joe Biden’s vice presidential search was the longest in modern history, and it involved...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Kamala Harris, long seen as a frontrunner to be Joe Biden’s running mate, represents...