Jump to: Senate Governor House
Senate rating changes
Dec. 5, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Raphael Warnock (D-GA) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Nov. 16, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Raphael Warnock (D-GA) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Nov. 7, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Raphael Warnock (D-GA) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| C. Cortez Masto (D-NV) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| PA Open (Toomey, R) |
Leans Democratic |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 19, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Chuck Grassley (R-IA) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
| Patty Murray (D-WA) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Aug. 31, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Mark Kelly (D-AZ) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| PA Open (Toomey, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Aug. 24, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| OH Open (Portman, R) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Aug. 17, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Patty Murray (D-WA) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
Aug. 2, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| MO Open (Blunt, R) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
June 15, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Mike Lee (R-UT) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Feb. 23, 2022
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Patty Murray (D-WA) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Nov. 3, 2021
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Mark Kelly (D-AZ) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
| Michael Bennet (D-CO) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| Raphael Warnock (D-GA) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
| C. Cortez Masto (D-NV) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
March 8, 2021
| Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| MO Open (Blunt, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Governor rating changes
Nov. 7, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| AZ Open (Ducey, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Laura Kelly (D-KS) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Steve Sisolak (D-NV) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| OR Open (Brown, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| Tony Evers (D-WI) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 31, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Ron DeSantis (R-FL) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| Brian Kemp (R-GA) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Oct. 19, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Kathy Hochul (D-NY) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Oct. 12, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Jared Polis (D-CO) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
| Tim Walz (D-MN) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| Kevin Stitt (R-OK) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Sept. 28, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| PA Open (Wolf, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Sept. 7, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| MA Open (Baker, R) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
Aug. 18, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| MD Open (Hogan, R) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
| Kathy Hochul (D-NY) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
| OR Open (Brown, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
June 29, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| JB Pritzker (D-IL) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
June 15, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Phil Scott (R-VT) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
June 2, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Mike DeWine (R-OH) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
May 24, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Brian Kemp (R-GA) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
May 18, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| PA Open (Wolf, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Jan. 26, 2022
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Kim Reynolds (R-IA) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Dec. 9, 2021
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| MD Open (Hogan, R) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| Tim Walz (D-MN) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Steve Sisolak (D-NV) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
| M. Lujan Grisham (D-NM) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Dec. 1, 2021
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| MA Open (Baker, R) |
Likely Republican |
Likely Democratic |
Nov. 9, 2021
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Chris Sununu (R-NH) |
Leans Republican |
Safe Republican |
Nov. 1, 2021
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| VA Open (Northam, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Leans Republican |
Sept. 15, 2021
| Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Gavin Newsom (D-CA) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
House rating changes
Nov. 7, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| CA-13 Open (No inc.) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Mike Levin (D, CA-49) |
Leans Democratic |
Leans Republican |
| David Valadao (R, CA-22) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Jahana Hayes (D, CT-5) |
Leans Democratic |
Leans Republican |
| IL-17 Open (Bustos, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Frank Mrvan (D, IN-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| Jared Golden (D, ME-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| Dan Kildee (D, MI-8) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| Elissa Slotkin (D, MI-7) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Angie Craig (D, MN-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| Susie Lee (D, NV-3) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| NY-3 Open (Suozzi, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| NY-19 Open (No inc.) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Steve Chabot (R, OH-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| OH-13 Open (Ryan, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Matt Cartwright (D, PA-8) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Susan Wild (D, PA-7) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| PA-17 Open (Lamb, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| RI-2 Open (Langevin, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Henry Cuellar (D, TX-28) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| TX-34 (Flores/Gonzalez) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Elaine Luria (D, VA-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Kim Schrier (D, WA-8) |
Leans Democratic |
Leans Republican |
Nov. 2, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| CO-8 Open (No inc.) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| FL-23 Open (Deutch, D) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| Sean Casten (D, IL-6) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Sharice Davids (D, KS-3) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| Mikie Sherrill (D, NJ-11) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Oct. 26, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Mike Garcia (R, CA-27) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Yvette Herrell (R, NM-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| NY-22 Open (Katko, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Joe Morelle (D, NY-25) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| OR-5 Open (Schrader, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 19, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| MT-1 Open (No inc.) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
| NY-4 Open (Rice, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Annie Kuster (D, NH-2) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| PA-12 Open (Doyle, D) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Oct. 12, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| CO-8 Open (No inc.) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
| RI-2 Open (Langevin, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
| WI-3 Open (Kind, D) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Oct. 5, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Mary Peltola (D, AK-AL) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| TX-34 (Gonzalez/Flores) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Sept. 29, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Jim Costa (D, CA-21) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
| Mikie Sherrill (D, NJ-11) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
| NC-14 Open (No inc.) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
| OR-4 Open (DeFazio, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| OR-6 Open (No inc.) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 22, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Marcy Kaptur (D, OH-9) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 14, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Chris Pappas (D, NH-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 7, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Mary Peltola (D, AK-AL) |
Safe Republican |
Toss-up |
| MI-3 Open (Meijer, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| Kim Schrier (D, WA-8) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Aug. 24, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Pat Ryan (D, NY-18) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
| NY-19 Open (No inc.) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Aug. 10, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Brad Finstad (R, MN-1) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
July 28, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| CO-7 Open (Perlmutter, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| CO-8 Open (No inc.) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Jahana Hayes (D, CT-5) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Carlos Giménez (R, FL-28) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| FL-4 Open (No inc.) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| FL-7 Open (Murphy, D) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| Sanford Bishop (D, GA-2) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| Frank Mrvan (D, IN-1) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
| NC-13 Open (No inc.) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Bryan Steil (R, WI-1) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
July 13, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Josh Harder (D, CA-9) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| CA-13 Open (No. inc.) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
June 29, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| RI-2 Open (Langevin, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
June 22, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| AK-AL Special (No inc.) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| Michelle Steel (R, CA-45) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| Jennifer Wexton (D, VA-10) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
June 15, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| TX-15 Open (No inc.) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
| TX-34 (Gonzalez/Flores) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
June 7, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Cindy Axne (D, IA-3) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
| OR-5 Open (Schrader, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
May 18, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Kurt Schrader (D, OR-5) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
April 19, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Greg Stanton (D, AZ-4) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Julia Brownley (D, CA-26) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
| Sanford Bishop (D, GA-2) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| IL-13 Open (Davis, R) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Frank Mrvan (D, IN-1) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Bill Huizenga (R, MI-4) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| Richard Hudson (R, NC-9) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| Susie Lee (D, NV-3) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
| Antonio Delgado (D, NY-19) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Scott Perry (R, PA-10) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
| Tony Gonzales (R, TX-23) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
March 2, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Henry Cuellar (D, TX-28) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Jan. 26, 2022
| Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
| Henry Cuellar (D, TX-28) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
| Vicente Gonzalez (D, TX-34) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
