Midterm 2014: Where things stand now
Election Day 2014 is now almost exactly seven months away, which is both near and far. On the one hand,
2016 Republican presidential update: A new, familiar name at the top
In our first ranking of the very large and very unsettled 2016 Republican presidential field back in April of last
The limited meaning of Florida’s special House election
Rep.-elect David Jolly (R, FL-13) overcame money, some internal division among Republicans, and a name recognition and prestige deficit to
The Six Most Overrated Races of 2014
As previously announced, U.Va. Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato will be contributing a column every other week to
14 FOR ‘14: SOME BOLD PREDICTIONS FOR THE NEW YEAR
As we wrap up our publishing schedule for 2013, we looked into the Crystal Ball to offer some predictions for
The Race for the White House – a follow-up
Programming note: The Crystal Ball is taking a pre-Labor Day break next week. Our next edition will be Thursday, Sept.
2016 President: Republican outsiders rising
Our most recent rating of Republican presidential contenders features a top tier of three notably different candidates: A Midwestern governor
Ratings changes — and non-changes
The Crystal Ball has a number of rating changes in Senate, House and gubernatorial races to announce, but perhaps our
Take two
Last week, we highlighted 10 classic or notable political ads that we thought 2014 candidates might consider studying (or “borrowing,”
2014 SENATE PREVIEW: CAN REPUBLICANS FINALLY TURN POTENTIAL INTO REALITY?
As the 2012 election fades into the history books, we begin our first look at the 2014 contests for Senate,
PRESIDENT TOO CLOSE TO CALL; DEMOCRATS HOLD SENATE EDGE PRIOR TO FINAL WEEKEND
Remarkably, after a year of intense campaigning, this election is not in the bag for either major-party candidate. It remains
President and Senate: Where we stand now
There are a lot of fishy things going on in the presidential race. An incumbent president’s approval rating is historically
The conventions: A national curiosity
(TAMPA, FL) — Before the 1970s, the political primary process was usually little more than a charade; party leaders met
Rating changes: Two new toss-ups
Wisconsin now a presidential toss-up Mitt Romney’s selection of Paul Ryan hasn’t appeared to have had much of a polling
Ryan Redux: Reevaluating Romney’s Running Mate
To see the Crystal Ball’s initial reaction to Mitt Romney’s selection of Paul Ryan as his running mate and how