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Let the Conventions Begin

As a veteran of 14 national political conventions–seven in each party–let me offer you, dear readers, a few brief observations.

Larry J. Sabato

The Cheney Dilemma

As expected, the Kerry campaign has put George W. Bush in a box with the selection of John Edwards. And

Larry J. Sabato

2004 as 1980?

Back on June 10, we issued an analysis that suggested just how similar the election of 1980 – Carter v.

Larry J. Sabato

For the Historical Record

Historical statistics can sometimes tell us a great deal about tendencies in upcoming elections, often with eerie levels of accuracy.

UVA Center for Politics

Herseth Wins South Dakota

With all 798 precincts reporting, Stephanie Herseth (D) has won the statewide U.S. House seat in South Dakota. Precisely as

Larry J. Sabato