Kerry Can Win Virginia…But Will He? Tags 2004 President June 3, 2004 The Kerry campaign recently stunned the national political community with its announcement that Kerry would seriously contest Virginia, which has
George W. Bush as Harry S. Truman Tags 2004 President May 20, 2004 The gloom among Republicans is deepening as President Bush falls behind Democratic nominee John F. Kerry by a small, but
Veep! Veep! The Wiley Crystal Ball Wonders Who Will Be Kerry’s Road Runner Tags 2004 President April 28, 2004 We are a little stubborn at the Crystal Ball. With only a couple of exceptions, we liked our original Vice-presidential
Specter Almost Lives Up to His Name, Narrowly Avoids Political Death Tags 2004 Senate April 28, 2004 Specter just barely squeaked it out. This is not particularly impressive – to say the least – for a 24-year
The Three Predictors of the Presidency Tags 2004 President April 13, 2004 There have been 26 presidential elections over the last hundred years. In exactly half of them (13), the incumbent president
It’s a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World Tags 2004 President April 13, 2004 The Crystal Ball is revealing its age with this headline, recalling a semi-forgettable 1960s-era film starring Spencer Tracy and Milton
The 2004 Lineup for Congress and Statehouses Tags 2004 General March 25, 2004 The Crystal Ball has looked anew at the races for Senate, House, and Governor in ’04. Not surprisingly, as the
Kerry’s Nader and Bush’s Nadir Tags 2004 President March 17, 2004 What a difference a letter makes: E or I. John Kerry has to contend with Ralph Nader in November, and
Veep Update! Best Kerry Choice is Evan Bayh Tags 2004 President March 3, 2004 Take a look at the Crystal Ball’s latest analysis of John Kerry’s likely choices for vice president and the table
Conventional Wisdom Watch Tags 2004 President March 3, 2004 Understandably, everybody is convinced that the November election will be another squeaker like 2000. Maybe it will be — but
Super-Mega-National-All-Over-The-Map Tuesday Tags 2004 President March 3, 2004 You have to go back to the Southern Super Tuesday of early March 1988 to find a primary day as
Presidential Pool-itics:Swimming in the Veep End Tags 2004 President February 18, 2004 Your Crystal Ball started off the New Year by looking at possible Democratic vice presidential candidates. It’s time for an
Sabato’s Three Laws of Political Motion” Tags 2004 President February 11, 2004 Now that John Kerry has won clear victories in Tennessee and Virginia, on top of his resounding triumphs over the
The Mesmerizing Dance of “Mr. Mo Mentum” Tags 2004 President February 4, 2004 With John Kerry’s big victories tonight in five of the seven states on Groundhog Tuesday (name courtesy of The Hotline),
HATE: The Common DEMnominator Tags 2004 President January 28, 2004 For those of us old enough to remember the long and winding career of Richard Nixon, a strange parallel is