INVISIBLE PRIMARIES
Sure, you’ve heard of the Iowa Caucuses, the New Hampshire Primary, and so on. But 2008’s first presidential pre-nomination contests
MIRROR, MIRROR, ON THE WALL
There’s no better day than Friday the 13th to venture into the occult, so your clairvoyant friends at the upstanding
OCTOBER SURPRISE! (And a Leadership Demise?)
One sign that a party is heading downhill is when it literally gives away seats in Congress. In 1994, the
Crystal Ball House Outlook
A Glance Inside the House Crystal Ball Republican Held Seats in Play: 62 Safe R Likey R (22) Leans R
Remember the Alamo
With less than two weeks to go before the traditional Labor Day kickoff of the fall election season, there’s never
Ned Nabs Nod in Nutmeg Powder Keg
Coverage and analysis of the Lieberman-Lamont primary results has likely consumed an entire national forest today, or at least a
The 2006 Midterms: Guilt by Association?
Just over one month ago, the Crystal Ball argued that a larger wave than currently existed at the time would
Mid-Summer Midterm Madness
Yes, we know college basketball is a distant memory by now from the perspective of these hot summer months, but
MICRO-WAVE or MACRO-WAVE?
Just how perilously close are Republicans to losing their congressional majority in 2006? The way several independent observers and Democrats
Better Watch a District!
With upside-down congressional approval ratings showing few signs of rising from the depths anytime soon, 2006 promises to be one
The Congressional Shuffle
Fresh off the Superbowl, Americans are once again reminded that every once in a while, an underdog team can come
Hammer Time Over? A “House of Blues” After 2006?
In May, the Crystal Ball argued that the 2006 midterm elections would present a whole new opportunity for Democrats to
They Just Don’t Make ‘Em Like They Used To
Between 1934 and 1994, the party in charge of the presidency lost House seats in midterm congressional elections without fail.
House 2006: Can Democrats “Hammer” the GOP Majority?
At this point in a midterm cycle, the Crystal Ball would normally lead off its analysis of the House landscape