The House: As 2020’s Final Contests Settle, Vacancies Arise February 11, 2021 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — With the race for NY-22 settled, 2020’s House elections may finally be fully in
2020’s Crossover Districts February 4, 2021 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — 16 members of the House hold districts that voted for the other party’s presidential
2022 Senate Races: Initial Ratings January 28, 2021 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Republicans will be defending more Senate seats than Democrats in 2022, but both sides
Coalition Shifts in Senate Races: SC, KY, IL December 3, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The reelection victories of three long-serving senators illustrate some of the nation’s political shifts.
Wisconsin: Decisive Again in 2020 November 19, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Once again, Wisconsin appears to be the tipping point state in the Electoral College,
States of Play: Virginia October 28, 2020 Dear Readers: Join us tomorrow at 2 p.m. for our Sabato’s Crystal Ball: America Votes webinar. In addition to breaking
States of Play: Wisconsin August 20, 2020 Dear Readers: In the next installment of our States of Play series — in which we’ll be taking an in-depth
House Primaries: A Little More Action This Year Than Usual July 30, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — As five sitting members of the House have already lost primaries — and some
VA-5: Riggleman Loss Opens Door to a Competitive Race June 16, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Rep. Denver Riggleman (R, VA-5) lost a bizarre, drive-through convention held over the weekend.
Republican Presidential Primary Turnout: Trump vs Bush May 28, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Compared to 2004, another year that featured a Republican president in a lightly-contested primary
Turnout in the 2020 Democratic Primary: Some Clues for the Fall March 26, 2020 Dear Readers: Next Thursday (April 2) from noon to 1 p.m. eastern, the Crystal Ball will be hosting a briefing
The Electoral College: Maine and Nebraska’s Crucial Battleground Votes January 9, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Nationalization has pushed urban and rural areas apart; Maine and Nebraska are no exceptions
Wisconsin: 2020’s Ground Zero December 19, 2019 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — A perpetual swing state, Wisconsin seems poised to play a pivotal role in next
Handicapping North Carolina’s New Districts December 5, 2019 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — With a new congressional map in place, Democrats seem poised to flip two seats
Shades of Alabama in Louisiana’s Gubernatorial Runoff November 21, 2019 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — In his narrow reelection win on Saturday, Gov. John Bel Edwards (D-LA) replicated some