The Democrats’ 51% Trifecta January 6, 2021 Dear Readers: During this huge week in American politics and in advance of a big shift of power in Washington,
Notes on the State of the 2020 Election November 12, 2020 Dear Readers: Check out our YouTube channel, UVACFP, later today for our latest Crystal Ball webinar. It will feature the
The Senate: Iowa to Leans Democratic October 20, 2020 Dear Readers: Join us Thursday at 2 p.m., just hours before the final presidential debate, for the latest edition of
With Just Weeks to Go, Trump is Not Making up Ground October 8, 2020 Dear Readers: Join us today at 2 p.m. eastern for our latest episode of Sabato’s Crystal Ball: America Votes. Vice
Biden Lead Looks Firmer as Midwest Moves His Way October 1, 2020 Dear Readers: Join us today at 2 p.m. eastern for our latest episode of Sabato’s Crystal Ball: America Votes. We’ll be reacting
Rating Changes: Maine Senate Moves to Leans Democratic September 21, 2020 Dear Readers: On Thursday at 2 p.m. eastern, we’ll be devoting our new episode of our Sabato’s Crystal Ball: America
Notes on the State of Politics June 11, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) seems to be rising in the Biden veepstakes.
Why 2020’s Third Party Share Should Be Lower Than 2016 May 14, 2020 Dear Readers: We wanted to let you know about two upcoming University of Virginia Center for Politics events. The Center
The State of the States: The Governors May 7, 2020 Dear Readers: Join us tomorrow as UVA Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato interviews Time national political correspondent Molly
The Senate: Looking Beyond the “Core Four” April 30, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The focus on the evenly-matched battle for the Senate has in some ways narrowed
Wisconsin’s Supreme Court Race: Don’t Project it Forward to the Fall April 16, 2020 Dear Readers: Today at 2 p.m., Kyle Kondik (Managing Editor of the Crystal Ball) will moderate a panel of four
Democratic Voters Closing the Door on Sanders March 11, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Tuesday night’s primary results generally showed Joe Biden running stronger versus Bernie Sanders than
Danger Signs Abound for Sanders in Michigan — and Elsewhere March 9, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Ahead of several delegate-rich contests this month, both national and state-level polls suggest that
For Biden, a Stunning Super Tuesday March 4, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — That Joe Biden swept the South was not that big of a surprise; that
Biden’s Super Tuesday Test: Defending the South March 2, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Joe Biden’s victory in South Carolina re-established him as the main challenger to Bernie