The Battle for State Legislatures
Dear Readers: Crystal Ball Senior Columnist Louis Jacobson is analyzing several categories of state-level races for us this cycle. After
Abortion Battlefields in a Potentially Post-Roe Political World
Dear Readers: In light of a recent Politico article that features a leaked majority draft opinion from Justice Samuel Alito that would overturn the landmark Roe
How Minority Parties (Might) Compete in One-Party States
Dear Readers: The UVA Center for Politics is hosting a virtual event later today (Thursday, April 28) with the ambassadors
The Challenges of Being Buffalo in Today’s New York State
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Buffalo, and the Western New York region that surrounds it, is further from its
Abortion Battlefields in a Potentially Post-Roe Political World
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — If the Supreme Court overturns Roe vs. Wade later this year, it could hypothetically
Ranking the States Demographically, from Most Republican-Friendly to Most Democratic-Friendly
Dear Readers: Join us Tuesday, Feb. 15 as Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato interviews ABC News’ Jonathan Karl
The Challenges of Electing Governors and Lieutenant Governors Separately
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — In almost half the states, governors and lieutenant governors are either nominated separately, or
The Battles for Attorney General
Dear Readers: Last month, we announced that Crystal Ball Senior Columnist Louis Jacobson would be analyzing several categories of state-level
Secretary of State Races: More Important Than Ever in 2022, and More Complicated, Too
Dear Readers: We’re delighted to announce that Senior Columnist Louis Jacobson will be taking on an expanded role at the
Next Week’s Biggest Statewide Ballot Issues
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Voters in several states will be deciding significant statewide ballot issues next week. —
How Democrats Are Losing the War for Counties
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Democrats, particularly at the presidential level, are maintaining or increasing their electoral strength in
Where Both Parties Overperform in the House
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — As we head into a once-a-decade redistricting cycle, we analyzed which states have one
Like His Predecessors, Trump Suffered Down-Ballot Losses — But the Declines Were Comparatively Modest
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Like every post-World War II president, Donald Trump witnessed a fall-off in his party’s
How the Senate’s Long-Term Equilibrium Could Shape Democratic Decisions on the Filibuster
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — A majority of states are now either solidly Republican or solidly Democratic on the
Ballot Measures: A National Rundown for 2020
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Quietly, 2020 is proving to be a major year for ballot measures, with 120