Just How “Electable” is Trump, Anyway?
Dear Readers: We’re pleased to welcome polling expert Natalie Jackson back to the Crystal Ball this week. She explores Donald
Inconclusive Studies of 2020’s Pre-Election Polling Problems Could Be Good for the Industry
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Following another presidential election in which pre-election polls often understated support for Donald Trump,
Poll-Based Election Forecasts Will Always Struggle With Uncertainty
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — We have no idea how much uncertainty exists in pre-election polls. That leads to