The Underrated Eisenhower Coalition
Every political science undergraduate learns the “canonical” list of realigning elections: 1828, 1860, 1896, 1932, and 1968. These elections, so
What to Expect from Senate Polls in the Final Days
A few weeks ago, FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver released a dataset of over 6,000 polls, all conducted within 21 days of
2014: More Than a Backlash From 2008
The 2014 Senate elections are not shaping up to be particularly favorable for the Democrats. While there are still scenarios
Picking Your Primary Poison
Analysts are noticing the Democrats’ efforts to meddle in Republican primaries. In a Wall Street Journal article from last month,
Are Republicans Really Doomed Demographically?
Much of the debate about elections today revolves around the “Emerging Democratic Majority” thesis, taken from the 2002 book of
Is The Republican Presidential Vote Inefficiently Distributed?
A number of months ago, I engaged in a spirited debate with Alan Abramowitz and Ruy Teixeira over whether there
It’s Time To Increase The Size of the House
“Our founders put the first amendment first for a reason. It protects all Americans’ right to free speech, regardless of
Further Discussion of 2020 Reapportionment
Theodore Arrington wrote a short response/supplement to my earlier piece on the Voting Rights Act. I wrote this response mostly
The 2020 Reapportionment And The Voting Rights Act
We’re pleased to announce that Sean Trende, the shrewd senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics, will be contributing regularly to the
The Democrats’ problem with white voters
Last week, Alan Abramowitz, Crystal Ball Senior Columnist, and Ruy Teixeira, an expert on American political demographics, wrote about the