Plotting the GOP’s Most Efficient Electoral College Pathways May 31, 2023 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — In 2020, Donald Trump would have needed to flip 37 additional Electoral College votes
The Key to Forecasting Midterms: The Generic Ballot February 11, 2021 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE: — Given that Democrats only hold a single-digit majority in the House of Representatives, the
The Senate: Watch the Top of the Ticket April 23, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Incumbent senators almost never lose reelection in presidential years when their party’s presidential candidate
The 2016 Electoral College Map: A Template for 2020 January 2, 2020 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — In 2016, Hillary Clinton would have needed to flip 38 additional Electoral College votes
Up-Ballot Effects: Expanding the Electoral College Battleground October 24, 2019 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — A presidential campaign strategy narrowly focused on Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan might work for
The House’s Republican Bias: Does it Exist? September 12, 2019 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Single-member districts, natural sorting, and gerrymandering are the origins of bias in the House