A Republican Senate in a Divided Government December 21, 2023 Dear Readers: This is our last issue of 2023. We wish you all Happy Holidays and a Happy New Year.
GROWING URBAN-RURAL SPLIT PROVIDES REPUBLICANS WITH DOWN-BALLOT ADVANTAGES June 2, 2016 The 2012 election provided two powerful reminders about the electoral implications of overly-concentrated Democratic voters. First, the Republicans held their
The End of Amendments? March 27, 2014 This year marks the centennial anniversary of the first class of popularly-elected U.S. Senators, as mandated by adoption of the
HOW SHOULD WE VOTE? June 6, 2013 In an earlier thought experiment for this site, I examined the history of multiple-member and statewide at-large districts in congressional
Multi-Member Districts: Just a Thing of the Past? March 21, 2013 Given that at least a third of Americans identify strongly with neither major party, it seems anomalous that the two
Democrats Dread 2014 Drop-Off January 10, 2013 At first blush, Saxby Chambliss and the Michigan right-to-work episode seem completely unrelated. Most Republicans approve of both, of course,
WILL OBAMA’S FOREIGN POLICY WINS LEAD TO A WIN NEXT YEAR? November 17, 2011 Presidents do not have a lot of leisure reading time, so it’s unlikely that Barack Obama has had time to
ONE YEAR FROM CONVENTION, WHAT DOES OBAMA SAY? September 1, 2011 With Barack Obama’s 2012 renomination speech in Charlotte now about a year away, here’s a very simple political question with
From the House to the White House? Not so fast August 11, 2011 Michele Bachmann is surging. Newt Gingrich is struggling. And, as usual, Ron Paul is stirring the pot. The 2012 Republican
Racial voting surge: Obama’s re-election and the Democrats’ 2006 Senate class May 19, 2011 After two strong congressional cycles in 2006 and 2008, the Democrats were “shellacked” by Republicans in 2010. As the 2012
The Latino Threshold February 17, 2011 In the days immediately following the 2010 midterms several indisputable trends for the cycle were apparent. Voters were most concerned
The Democrats’ Fab Four, Revisited December 2, 2010 Sandwiched between the Democrats’ disappointing 2002 election cycle and their 2010 “shellacking,” the party made significant gains during the three,
Republicans’ Regional Recipe July 15, 2010 With a dozen weeks to go before the 2010 midterm elections, speculation is rising about the possibility of the Republicans