The Obama Generation
Americans under the age of 30 played a major role in the election of Barack Obama as the 44th President
Independent Voters and the President: Myths and Realities
The importance of partisanship in contemporary American politics is widely recognized. Among the public as well as political leaders, party
Diverging Coalitions: The Transformation of the American Electorate
The election of America’s first black president has been widely hailed as an historic event. However, much less attention has
The False Hope of Bipartisanship
It’s not a matter of “if.” It’s a matter of “when.” As in, when will all of the feel-good rhetoric
Did the Wall Street Meltdown Change the Election?
Editor’s Note: Several weeks ago, the Crystal Ball published a 2008 election analysis by Prof. Larry Sabato, which concluded in
THIRTY DAYS AND COUNTING
With one month remaining in the 2008 presidential campaign, national and state polling data indicate that Barack Obama holds a
NINETY DAYS AND COUNTING:
In less than three months millions of Americans will go to the polls to choose the next president of the
TRACKING THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
If you’re a political junkie like me, and if you’re reading this article there’s a pretty good chance you are,
DOES OBAMA HAVE A PROBLEM WITH WHITE VOTERS?
“Poll Finds Obama’s Run Isn’t Closing Divide on Race,” reads the headline on the front page of the July 16th
Is Time on John McCain’s Side?
In a recent Crystal Ball article, Michael Baudinet of the University of Virginia Center for Politics argued that despite a
THE ELECTORAL BAROMETER VS. THE POLLS
A question that keeps arising in connection with this year’s presidential race is why, given the extremely favorable political environment
CAN MCCAIN OVERCOME THE TRIPLE WHAMMY?
With the long and contentious Democratic nomination race finally winding down, the attention of the media and the public is
THIS IS NOT YOUR FATHER’S (OR MOTHER’S) DEMOCRATIC PARTY:
Forget about soccer moms and NASCAR dads. The key voting bloc in 2008 is the white working class. According to
THE INCREDIBLE SHRINKING REPUBLICAN BASE
Discussions of the current political situation and comparisons between the 2008 election and earlier contests frequently overlook a crucial fact.
WILL DISAPPOINTED DEMS VOTE FOR MCCAIN?
Democratic leaders are becoming increasingly worried about the long-term consequences of the drawn-out and contentious presidential nomination race between Barack