COURSE CORRECTIONS: A MIDTERM THEORY June 6, 2013 Over the next several weeks, we’ll run full updates on 2014’s House, Senate and gubernatorial races. But as an introduction
Size matters May 23, 2013 After the 2004 election, a map showing President George W. Bush’s (R) reelection map by county became a notable Republican
Sanford joins “The Underachievers” May 9, 2013 In winning his special election victory on Tuesday night, incoming Rep. Mark Sanford (R-SC) joined a dubious but sizable bipartisan
SANFORD VS. COLBERT BUSCH: A VERY “SPECIAL” ELECTION May 2, 2013 A former Republican governor of a deeply Republican state is running for a deeply Republican U.S. House seat, but he
Senate update: Baucus leaving could be blessing in plain sight April 25, 2013 So maybe Brian Schweitzer really is senile enough for the U.S. Senate. After the retirement of Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT)
Hard targets? April 4, 2013 One needs little more than just fingers and toes to count the number of House members who represent districts won
Senate 2014: Blowouts as bellwethers? March 28, 2013 Consider these assessments of two 2012 Senate races, from Roll Call’s election preview published about a month before Election Day
“No Mas,” No Problem? March 14, 2013 Dick Durbin (D-IL) is that rarest of Democrats these days — a senator who apparently contemplates but passes on retirement.
ALL SENATORS ARE EQUAL, BUT THEIR CLASSES AREN’T February 28, 2013 Make no mistake — this year’s Senate elections are being waged on Republican turf. But that’s not uncommon. A third
2014 House ratings: Democratic potential, Republican predictability February 7, 2013 If there are two adjectives that best describe the respective target lists of Democrats and Republicans in the House this
Rockefeller retirement guarantees Republicans nothing January 11, 2013 Sen. Jay Rockefeller’s (D-WV) decision to retire is a positive development for Republicans. But whether they can capitalize on it,
House 2014: A narrowing battlefield? December 13, 2012 Ticket-splitters are getting rarer and rarer, at least based on the dwindling number of congressional districts where different parties won
Projection: Republicans will hold the House October 25, 2012 While there will be major shifts in the House delegations of many states on Election Day, and while more than
House update: In Electoral College, tie goes to Romney October 18, 2012 Partisan control of the individual states’ congressional delegations is a largely meaningless statistic — until, one of these days, it
Gubernatorial and House ratings update October 4, 2012 While other gubernatorial races may get closer as Election Day nears, right now the top gubernatorial tilts in the country