House battle at relative standstill, but watch generic ballot September 20, 2012 After shuffling many of our House ratings, it’s pretty obvious that the race for the House remains locked in a
THOMPSON WIN BOOSTS SENATE REPUBLICANS August 16, 2012 For the second straight week, the Crystal Ball is moving a toss-up Senate race to the Republican column. Now that
AKIN FAVORED IN MISSOURI August 9, 2012 Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) got the opponent she wanted. But she still enters the general election season as an underdog.
AN OVER/UNDER ON DEMOCRATIC HOUSE GAINS July 12, 2012 In sports betting parlance, an “over/under” is a bet on whether there will be more or less of a given
The Buckeye State’s Political Map July 5, 2012 Ohio, the great maker of presidents, remains vitally important in presidential elections because it is one of the biggest of
On health care, Supreme Court upholds the political status quo June 28, 2012 The Supreme Court’s narrow decision to uphold the Affordable Care Act means that the country’s partisan battle over health care
THE HOUSE’S 15 CLOSEST CONTESTS June 28, 2012 The conventional wisdom in the battle for control of the U.S. House of Representatives is that Democrats will pick up
House Update: Democrats Stuck in Neutral June 14, 2012 Democrat Ron Barber will replace his old boss, Gabrielle Giffords, in the House after winning a special election Tuesday night,
House Update: Democrats California Dreamin’ May 31, 2012 Reps. Howard Berman and Brad Sherman (both California Democrats) were put in the same district in redistricting, and they are
Let’s not overreact to the Judd Mutiny May 10, 2012 We would make a joke about President Obama only taking 59% of the West Virginia primary vote against a federal
Veepwatch: Readers React April 19, 2012 John Adams, the Founding Father who served as the nation’s first vice president, had this to say about the No.
Democrats’ House Hopes Could Run Aground in Great Lakes March 29, 2012 During the War of 1812, Commodore Oliver Hazard Perry whipped the British in the famous Battle of Lake Erie. Nearly
Happy Trails: The Muted Effect of House Retirements February 9, 2012 Generally speaking, if members of the U.S. House of Representatives want to keep their seats, voters are happy to oblige:
Voter disgust: What might it mean for the House race? January 19, 2012 We here at the Crystal Ball, and of course our readers, love politics. But Americans don’t, especially now: Congress is
Fortress Blue, Fortress Red October 20, 2011 Franklin Delano Roosevelt once said that “There is nothing I love as much as a good fight.” If so, he