Gas Prices and Presidential Approval
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — President Joe Biden and his party are struggling amidst myriad challenges, including high gas
Notes on the State of Politics: March 2, 2022
Dear Readers: This is the latest edition of Notes on the State of Politics, which features short updates on elections
The Dissipating Political Impact of Jan. 6
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — A recurring theme during Donald Trump’s presidency was the emergence of seemingly very negative
Six Decades of Regional Change in House Elections
Dear Readers: Last week, the UVA Center for Politics premiered a new student-produced documentary, Common Grounds?, which explores the political
New Hampshire: The Fallout from Sununu’s Choice
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Republicans are still looking for a challenger to Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) after Gov.
An Excerpt from The Long Red Thread
Dear Readers: Crystal Ball Managing Editor Kyle Kondik’s new book, The Long Red Thread: How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to
Cuomo Out: NY-GOV Remains Likely Democratic in Ratings
One of the most common questions we got around this time last year was whether there was some way for
Redistricting in America, Part One:
Gerrymandering Potency Raises the Stakes for the 2020s
Dear Readers: This is the first of a multi-part Crystal Ball series that we’ll be publishing periodically between now and
The States: Recent Candidate Decisions Could Lead to More One-Party Rule
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Currently, one party controls all of the statewide elected executive offices in 36 of
Virginia: McAuliffe’s Chance to Defy History Once Again
Dear Readers: The University of Virginia Center for Politics has released a trailer for its latest documentary, Common Grounds. Produced
The Senate: Sununu’s Vital Choice
Dear Readers: Virginia lost one of its most prominent and successful political figures on Tuesday, as former Sen. John Warner
The House: Democrats Would Have a Tough Slog Even Without Redistricting
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The reapportionment of House seats and pending redistricting has prevented us from releasing U.S.
Census Reapportionment: Seat Trade-offs Likelier to Benefit Republicans
Dear Readers: We are publishing a special, early-week edition of the Crystal Ball in order to react to Monday afternoon’s
Checking in on Biden’s Approval Rating as Hundred Days’ Mark Nears
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Joe Biden’s approval rating has been steady and positive, though many other presidents had
The Mini-Midterms: Five Takeaways from Six Decades of House Special Elections
Dear Readers: Join us tonight (Thursday, April 15) at 6:30 p.m. eastern for a free, virtual panel: “The Changing Face