Clinton hangs on in Nevada February 20, 2016 After very narrowly winning Iowa and losing New Hampshire in a blowout, Hillary Clinton has moved on to her “firewall”
The Republicans: Trump Soars, Rubio Falters February 10, 2016 Six months ago, Donald Trump as New Hampshire primary winner was almost unimaginable. Yet here we are: He triumphed, and
THE DEMOCRATS: BERNIE’S BLOWOUT February 10, 2016 That Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire was not a surprise. That he won by so much is. It’s a tremendous
WHAT WOULD – AND WOULD NOT – BE SURPRISING IN NEW HAMPSHIRE February 8, 2016 Last week, we wrote that Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump are the favorites to win New Hampshire, and while there
What we learned from Iowa February 2, 2016 Iowa is in the books, and we already have our first surprise: Ted Cruz confounded late polls showing him sliding
18 Days to Iowa: Presidential Demolition Derby Revs Up January 14, 2016 What is there to add about Donald Trump that has not already been said? The political world has moved from
10 Factors That Will Determine the Next President December 17, 2015 The Crystal Ball will be on an abbreviated holiday schedule the next two weeks. We will not be publishing next
REPUBLICANS 2016: WHERE THE RACE STANDS NOW October 29, 2015 The third Republican presidential debate, held in Colorado on Wednesday night, was an odd, disjointed affair. The moderators arguably engaged
Democrats 2016: After months of struggles, Clinton helps herself at debate October 13, 2015 Last year at this time, Democrats were in the final month of their losing battle to hold the U.S. Senate.
Republicans 2016: Two down, 14 to go September 24, 2015 Whatever else it is, the Republican presidential contest has become a full employment act for reporters and analysts. With the
THE REAGAN RUMBLE September 17, 2015 With a Wednesday night debate, we would have been remiss to send you a Crystal Ball on Thursday morning without
Early Thoughts on 2016’s Presidential and Down-Ballot Races September 17, 2015 U.Va. Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato is a regular contributor to Politico Magazine, and this week he and
Republicans 2016: What to Do with The Donald? August 13, 2015 Whatever you think of him, Donald Trump is a stick of dynamite thrown into the presidential pond. All the boats
A Small Senate Battlefield July 23, 2015 Since we last took a comprehensive look at the 2016 Senate races, a slew of new candidates have jumped in,
Democrats 2016: Not Feeling The Bern July 9, 2015 The Buzz about Bernie has taken hold on the Democratic side of the 2016 campaign, and it’s easy to see