2016 presidential update: For Republicans, a vacancy at the top
It’s lonely at the top of the Republican field — like, “top of Mt. Everest” lonely. In our latest shuffle
Off to the Races
Earlier this week we offered a pre-Labor Day assessment of the midterm state of play in the Senate, House, and
What’s the Matter with Kansas — and Hawaii?
Royal Blue Hawaii and Ruby Red Kansas are two of the most predictable states in presidential and Senate elections. Yet
Senate: 2014 A Year All Its Own
Analysts always strain to generalize about elections. We want to “model” them, find the common elements, and project them as
Republicans: “Thank God for Mississippi!”
Editors’ Note: A version of the story below appeared in Politico Magazine on Wednesday morning as Thank God for Mississippi.
2016 presidential ratings update: Nothing but questions on the Republican side
“It is not only the loneliest job in the world — it is one of continual soulsearching and of deep
LONG ODDS FOR MOST SENATE PRIMARY CHALLENGES
Last week, the Crystal Ball updated some 2014 general election ratings in the Senate. The takeaway: Control of Congress’ upper
Senate 2014: A coin-flip
Political news in the opening weeks of 2014’s midterm year has been dominated not by the upcoming national election, but
The surprisingly dramatic Terry & Ken Show
A year ago, almost everyone who followed Virginia politics thought that Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli (R) had the inside track
AFTER THE SHUTDOWN, REPUBLICANS SORT THROUGH THE WRECKAGE
We’ll save our Republican friends a recitation of all the damage they did to themselves during the recent battle over
How 2014’s Gubernatorial Races Affect the Next House Map
Control of the U.S. House of Representatives may not be at stake in 2014, if our recent analysis is correct,
OMEN OR NOT?
We can all guess the final result in New Jersey this November, and at this point most observers are less
VIRGINIA GOVERNOR: A FAVORITE EMERGES
As the calendar turns to September, the nation’s marquee race in 2013 is coming into focus: Terry McAuliffe (D) now
The presidency’s political price
Is politics a zero-sum game? Imagine, for a moment, if Sen. John McCain (R) had somehow won the presidency in
Rinse and Repeat
In American politics, everything old can be made new again, including the themes and attacks in candidates’ campaign ads. Some