Senate 2014: One direction, but how far?
This concludes our four-part update of the 2014 electoral environment. First, we proposed that 2014 might end up being a
GOVERNORS 2014: THE INCUMBENT AVALANCHE
If you’re looking for a major difference between the last midterm election in 2010 and the one coming up in
So what just happened in Virginia?
Almost all states consistently use primaries to nominate their candidates for statewide office (U.S. Senate, governor, lower statewide elected officials),
16 for ’16, Part 2: An elephant rises from the heartland?
As we discussed last week, the Democratic Party’s presidential field in 2016 hinges greatly on the decision of one person:
16 for ’16, Part 1: Democrats Again Hunger for History
Before he cast his ballot in 1860, Abraham Lincoln cut off the portion of it pertaining to the presidential race.
Three’s a crowd: Bolling passes on Virginia gubernatorial run
There’s apparently nothing like a Bahamas vacation to remind someone that there’s more to life than politics. After flirting with
Red Alert, Part 2 – The governors
UPDATE: The Crystal Ball‘s Kyle Kondik spoke with Paul Brandus of West Wing Report about this article. To hear the
2014 Senate ratings: Red Alert!
We’ll grant you, most people now prefer to follow the candidates in a March 2013 election over in Rome, not
CLOSING THE BOOK ON 2012
Now that we have official election results from nearly every state, we wanted to offer some closing thoughts on election
12 FROM ’12: SOME TAKEAWAYS FROM A WILD ELECTION
Programming note: The Crystal Ball is taking the week off for Thanksgiving next week, but we’ll be back with another
Crystal Ball has another strong cycle
Despite a topsy-turvy, hurricane-interrupted election that looked closer a week ago than it actually was on Election Day, the Crystal
PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM
With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature’s October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win
Unpacking the final debate
The conventional wisdom before the debate season was that President Obama would have the edge in a foreign policy debate,
The presidential race: Where does it go from here?
If the presidential race seems like it’s hard to get a grip on, that’s because it is — the contest
RATINGS CHANGES: OBAMA’S DEBATE DISASTER MOVES THE NEEDLE
Two months ago, we said that “barring a major blunder by either candidate,” the presidential debates were unlikely to be