Kerry with Narrow Lead in June June 17, 2004 With less than five months to go until Nov. 2, the candidates will travel many thousands of miles in their
A Lesson Plan from the Great Communicator June 10, 2004 It’s been a moving week of tributes and retrospectives on the Reagan Presidency. But has the look back told us
Kerry Can Win Virginia…But Will He? June 3, 2004 The Kerry campaign recently stunned the national political community with its announcement that Kerry would seriously contest Virginia, which has
Herseth Wins South Dakota June 3, 2004 With all 798 precincts reporting, Stephanie Herseth (D) has won the statewide U.S. House seat in South Dakota. Precisely as
George W. Bush as Harry S. Truman May 20, 2004 The gloom among Republicans is deepening as President Bush falls behind Democratic nominee John F. Kerry by a small, but
Specter Almost Lives Up to His Name, Narrowly Avoids Political Death April 28, 2004 Specter just barely squeaked it out. This is not particularly impressive – to say the least – for a 24-year
Veep! Veep! The Wiley Crystal Ball Wonders Who Will Be Kerry’s Road Runner April 28, 2004 We are a little stubborn at the Crystal Ball. With only a couple of exceptions, we liked our original Vice-presidential
It’s a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World April 13, 2004 The Crystal Ball is revealing its age with this headline, recalling a semi-forgettable 1960s-era film starring Spencer Tracy and Milton
The Three Predictors of the Presidency April 13, 2004 There have been 26 presidential elections over the last hundred years. In exactly half of them (13), the incumbent president
The 2004 Lineup for Congress and Statehouses March 25, 2004 The Crystal Ball has looked anew at the races for Senate, House, and Governor in ’04. Not surprisingly, as the
Kerry’s Nader and Bush’s Nadir March 17, 2004 What a difference a letter makes: E or I. John Kerry has to contend with Ralph Nader in November, and
Super-Mega-National-All-Over-The-Map Tuesday March 3, 2004 You have to go back to the Southern Super Tuesday of early March 1988 to find a primary day as
Conventional Wisdom Watch March 3, 2004 Understandably, everybody is convinced that the November election will be another squeaker like 2000. Maybe it will be — but
Veep Update! Best Kerry Choice is Evan Bayh March 3, 2004 Take a look at the Crystal Ball’s latest analysis of John Kerry’s likely choices for vice president and the table
Presidential Pool-itics:Swimming in the Veep End February 18, 2004 Your Crystal Ball started off the New Year by looking at possible Democratic vice presidential candidates. It’s time for an