Larry J. Sabato

Now that John Kerry has won clear victories in Tennessee and Virginia, on top of his resounding triumphs over the

With John Kerry’s big victories tonight in five of the seven states on Groundhog Tuesday (name courtesy of The Hotline),

For those of us old enough to remember the long and winding career of Richard Nixon, a strange parallel is

We know, we know. The Democrats haven’t even selected their presidential nominee yet, and already the Crystal Ball is speculating

The past few months have been eventful and significant in the race for the White House. For George W. Bush,

The Democratic Crystal Ball Formula Candidate debates? So far, they’ve been sound and fury, signifying nothing. The real campaign is

Bush Popularity Dive Several recent national surveys have had President Bush slipping to his all-time job-approval low, such as the

As we look to the final year of this eternal presidential election, the Crystal Ball gets right down to it.

In the June 2003 Crystal Ball, we manipulated the Electoral College to find a way for Democrats to compete, and

Thanks to some very sharp and persuasive Crystal Ball readers – especially Chuck Thies, Sean Tenner, and John Capozzi –

With less than 18 months to go before Election Day 2004, what does the Electoral College picture look like? Wait,

As 2004 approaches, Democrats have plenty of factors to consider as they choose a nominee to take on President Bush.

Now that the war phase of the Iraq operation is winding down, it’s time for the Crystal Ball to return

Julius Caesar was warned: “Beware the Ides of March.” Our modern presidents should be warned: “Beware the third year.” Why,

After a post-election hiatus, we officially re-launch Sabatos Crystal Ball as the political planets align. The New Hampshire primary is