Virginia 2017, Part One: The Democrats
To the delight of Virginia political junkies, the Old Dominion has a notable election every November, with federal contests in
Could Johnson Voters Save the Republican Senate Majority?
The watchword for congressional races in a presidential year is coattails, specifically in this election negative coattails from Donald Trump.
THE DANGER OF THE POLITICAL LIMELIGHT
Back in mid-September, we noted that there appeared to be at least a limited negative (or inverse) relationship between the
The Convention Aftermath: Clinton Bounces Higher Than Trump
How big did Hillary Clinton bounce in the polls after the Democratic National Convention? Based on the available data as
What to Expect When You’re Expecting a Bounce
The convention bounce is a long-established pattern in presidential election cycles. Much has been written about it, so we won’t
Venus vs. Mars: A Record-Setting Gender Gap?
With four months to go in the 2016 general election campaign, national polls suggest that it’s quite possible that the
A Tale of Two Elections: Clinton’s 2016 Primary Performance Versus 2008
Editor’s note: This is the first of two editions of the Crystal Ball this week. While we typically only publish
Virginia: The Pivotal Primary?
In November 2016, Virginia will easily be one of the most-watched states in the general election contest. The Old Dominion’s
Republicans 2016: From South Carolina to the Ides of March
After months and months of endless fascination with Iowa and New Hampshire, the bulk of the primary season will be
The Modern History of the Democratic Presidential Primary, 1972-2008
Most political observers consider 1972 the beginning of the “modern era” of presidential politics. After the controversial 1968 presidential cycle,
The Modern History of the Republican Presidential Primary, 1976-2012
This is the first of a two-part series describing the state-by-state history of modern presidential primary voting in each party.
The Baffling Bayou
Based purely on poll numbers, the Louisiana gubernatorial race should be easy to call. State Rep. John Bel Edwards (D)
Republicans 2016: White Evangelicals Dominate the Early Calendar
Based on the election calendar, white evangelical Christians are going to receive ample attention early in the 2016 Republican primary.
Vying for Virginia: The 2015 General Assembly Elections
On Nov. 3, the Old Dominion holds elections for all 40 of its state Senate seats and all 100 House
New Hampshire: Toss-Up Central
Think New Hampshire isn’t getting enough political attention? You’re probably alone, but a long-awaited move by Gov. Maggie Hassan (D)