Unemployment Update: Who Gets the Credit? May 23, 2012 At the end of January, the Crystal Ball examined the latest state-by-state unemployment numbers and what they could mean for
The states that put presidents over the top May 17, 2012 We all think we know which states are the pivotal players in the Electoral College. The Crystal Ball’s most recent
Rommey’s VP Selection: Hold Your Horses May 3, 2012 Now that Mitt Romney is the presumptive Republican nominee, attention has turned to his impending selection of a vice presidential
Parsing Post-Nomination Primary Performance April 19, 2012 Now that Rick Santorum has suspended his campaign, Mitt Romney has essentially wrapped up the Republican presidential nomination. Although Newt
Romney tries to match a rare feat February 16, 2012 Correction: This article originally omitted James K. Polk, who won the presidency in 1844 despite losing his home state of
Update: Unemployment and the Presidential Race January 31, 2012 Back in September, the Crystal Ball examined the possible electoral impact of state-by-state unemployment figures because, after all, presidents are
Romney’s Opponents Look for the Spirit of ‘76 January 19, 2012 While Mitt Romney may very well be on his way to winning the GOP nomination, he is not completely out
Some close primary and caucus results from the past January 3, 2012 With tonight’s agonizingly close race in the Iowa caucuses, we decided to look back at other close primary calls through
Timing is Everything: When Could We See an Independent Candidate in 2012? December 15, 2011 Much remains to be decided in determining the dramatis personae in next November’s 57th production of the American presidential election.