What Goes Around Comes Around?
Since President Obama’s reelection victory in 2012, a number of Republican state legislators around the country have proposed altering the
As Election Day Closes In, Tight Gubernatorial Races Abound
Can we be brutally frank? The governors’ races are really tough to call this year. As of Wednesday afternoon, 11
Primary Particulars
After Tuesday’s contests in Delaware, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island, primary season is essentially over. Only Louisiana remains, but
Abercrombie Makes History the Wrong Way
Given the reports coming out of the Aloha State in the lead up to the contest, Gov. Neil Abercrombie’s (D-HI)
2014 Races Where Third-Party and Independent Candidates Could Impact Outcomes
While it’s very hard for third-party and independent candidates to win statewide elections outright, they can have some impact on
Senate Class Population Imbalance
The Crystal Ball’s Kyle Kondik recently published a piece in Politico Magazine on 10 maps that explain the 2014 election.
How Veterans Vote
In Arkansas’ Senate contest, Rep. Tom Cotton (R) has a new ad that goes after Sen. Mark Pryor (D) for
Exiting the House
Over the past 40 years, there have been many ways to leave the U.S. House of Representatives. Specifically, nine different
Putting Their Eggs in the Wrong Midterm Basket
Barring significant changes in group voting habits, many commentators have argued that “The Coalition of the Ascendant” is positioned to
How Congressional Representation Has Changed Over the Past 50 Years
In January, the release of the Census Bureau’s 2013 population estimates prompted the Crystal Ball to examine what the post-2020
Deep-sixing California
California is such a massive state — if it were an independent nation, it would have the eighth-largest economy in
Does Obama have an approval floor?
On Dec. 3, 2013, President Obama hit his low point in approval as president, at least according to RealClearPolitics’ aggregate
Could the Budget Deal Fail?
On Tuesday, Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) and Rep. Paul Ryan (R, WI-1) announced a two-year budget agreement that could potentially
THE THREATENING THIRTIES
For the first time in his presidency, Barack Obama finds his aggregate approval rating hovering right at 40%. In some
Five days to go in Virginia
Late last Thursday afternoon — after the publication of last week’s Crystal Ball — we revised our ratings of the