Notes on the State of Politics: Dec. 13, 2023
Dear Readers: On the latest episode of our Politics is Everything podcast, former Virginia U.S. House Reps. L.F. Payne (D)
The GOP Primary: Lowest-Hanging Fruit Remains Out of Reach for Trump Rivals
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Donald Trump continues to dominate the Republican primary race. — Despite some recent movement
Putting Biden’s Troubles with Young Voters in Perspective
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Recent 2024 presidential polling has shown President Biden performing poorly with young voters. —
Notes on the State of the 2023 Elections
Dear Readers: We wish all of you a Happy Thanksgiving; the Crystal Ball will not be publishing next week. Before
The Third Party Wild Card
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Potentially weak major party nominees paired with a long list of third party candidates
Trump and Biden Seek Historic Combined Sweep
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Despite weak overall favorability, Joe Biden and Donald Trump could combine for the strongest
The Battle for the Virginia State Legislature, Part One
Dear Readers: This is the first of a two-part Crystal Ball series on this November’s state legislative elections in Virginia.
How the Other Half Votes: The United States, Part Two
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The presidential voting gap between the nation’s most populous counties and the rest of
How the Other Half Votes: The United States, Part One
Dear Readers: In the latest edition of our Politics is Everything podcast, we discuss the third indictment of former President
Electoral College Ratings: Expect Another Highly Competitive Election
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Our initial 2024 Electoral College ratings start with just four Toss-up states. — Democrats
Pumping the Brakes Post-Milligan
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The Supreme Court’s Allen v. Milligan decision should give Democrats at least a little
Notes on the State of Politics: May 2, 2023
Biden may pass on New Hampshire test While it would not rank that high on the all-time list of ways
How the Other Half Votes: Manchin and Tester’s Challenge
Dear Readers: Join us at 10:30 eastern this morning for a conversation with the Honorable Mark Brzezinski, Ambassador of the
Is Biden’s Approval Rating Too Weak for Him to Win?
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Presidential approval is typically a good predictor of the share of the vote an
How the Other Half Votes: The Southwest
Dear Readers: New Center for Politics Professor of Practice Liz Cheney will discuss her time in Congress, her role on