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THE MYTH OF A TOSS-UP ELECTION

“Too close to call.” “Within the margin of error.” “A statistical dead heat.” If you’ve been following news coverage of

By Alan Abramowitz Thomas E. Mann and Larry J. Sabato

A NEW ELECTORATE IN THE MAKING?

Speculation abounds these days about whether this fall’s presidential election will produce a dramatically different electoral map than the virtually

Rhodes Cook

THE MAP

Nobody now knows the exact contours of the November 4th Electoral College map. Nobody will know them until after the

Larry J. Sabato

PRIMARY CONCERNS:

For the first time in 40 years, the Democrats and Republicans are each on the verge of nominating a candidate

Rhodes Cook

HOW OBAMA DID IT

Justin M. Sizemore, the latest guest contributor to the Crystal Ball, is a University of Virginia alumnus and attorney who

Justin M. Sizemore