Where People Voted in 2022 — and Where They Didn’t
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Despite a requirement that congressional districts have roughly identical populations within states, the number
The Republican Advance in the South — and Other Party Registration Trends
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Party registration can be a lagging indicator of political change, but recent changes in
The “Big Sort” Continues, with Trump as a Driving Force
Dear Readers: UVA Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato recently interviewed Jonathan Karl of ABC News and Rep. Ro
States of Play: Pennsylvania
Dear Readers: As we’ve stressed throughout this election season, the president isn’t picked by national polling or the popular vote,
Take Two: Can Sanders Broaden His Base?
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Unlike in 2016, Bernie Sanders has a real chance to win the Democratic presidential
Registering By Party: Where the Democrats and Republicans Are Ahead
KEY POINT FROM THIS ARTICLE — Altogether, there are 31 states (plus the District of Columbia) with party registration; in
Donald Trump’s Short Congressional Coattails
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Although Donald Trump is remaking the Republican Party in his image, he had among
The 2016 Presidential Vote: A Look Down in the Weeds
If Hillary Clinton had won the presidency — and she took the popular vote by nearly 3 million — the
AN HISTORICAL RARITY: A FOUR-PARTY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
There is no doubt that this is a high stakes election. It is not Tweedledum and Tweedledee, as former Alabama
High Primary Turnouts: Any Clues for the Fall?
Editor’s note: This is the first of two editions of the Crystal Ball this week. While we typically only publish
Are Voters Drifting Away?
For the first decade after Sept. 11, national elections showed a steady rise in voter turnout. The number of ballots
IOWA SURVIVES
While potential presidential candidates are just beginning to jockey for pole position for 2016, there has already been one clear
BARACK OBAMA AND BILL CLINTON: COMPLEMENTARY STRENGTHS
The Democrats can use all the assets they can find as they approach a midterm election that grows increasingly challenging.
CHRIS CHRISTIE’S MIDTERM MARKER
Probably no election this year has been more important to the presidential politics of 2016 than Republican Gov. Chris Christie’s
DEMOCRATS AND THE WHITE HOUSE: FROM LOSING TO WINNING
Accurately or not, Barack Obama has been compared to a number of famous politicians: FDR, JFK, Ronald Reagan, even Jimmy