Forecasting the Democratic State Legislative Wavelet of 2018 Tags 2018 House October 25, 2018 Editor’s Note: After showcasing a state legislative assessment from experts at the National Conference of State Legislatures a couple
New polls: Nevada, Texas, Wisconsin Tags 2018 Governor2018 Senate October 24, 2018 New Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls show Republicans ahead in key races in Nevada and Texas, while Democrats
The Drive for 25: An updated seat-by-seat analysis of the House Tags 2018 HouseRating Change October 18, 2018 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — A race-by-race analysis of Democratic House targets shows the party is close to
New polls in the South: Georgia gubernatorial race tied; Tennessee Senate race close Tags 2018 Governor2018 Senate October 17, 2018 Two new polls from Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics show close races in two high-profile, open-seat Southern contests: the
Midterm Update: North Dakota goes to Leans Republican, giving the Republicans a clearer edge in the Senate Tags 2018 Governor2018 House2018 SenateRating Change October 11, 2018 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The North Dakota Senate race moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican, reinforcing what we’ve
The State Legislatures: More than 6,000 down-ballot races to determine control of states Tags Uncategorized October 11, 2018 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — More than four of every five of the nation’s state legislative seats will be
New polls: Rauner in big trouble in Illinois; McCaskill, Hawley locked in tied Missouri Senate race Tags 2018 Governor2018 Senate October 10, 2018 Two new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls show Democrats well on their way to picking up a key
Ratings Changes: House, Senate, and Governor Tags 2018 Governor2018 House2018 SenateRating Change October 4, 2018 Editor’s Note: Before we begin this week, we just wanted to acknowledge our friend Geoffrey Skelley, our long-time Crystal
The Senate: How 2018 sets up 2020 Tags 2018 Senate2020 Senate September 27, 2018 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The 2018 Senate races are important not just for determining the majority next January,
New polls: Democrats in decent shape across the Frost Belt Tags 2018 Governor2018 Senate September 26, 2018 A series of new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls found Democrats ahead in a host of Senate and
Ratings Changes: House and Governors Tags 2018 Governor2018 House September 20, 2018 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — A slew of new House polling, mostly from the New York Times and Siena
Keep on Keepin’ On: 2018 Incumbent Renomination Rates Tags 2018 Governor2018 House2018 Senate September 20, 2018 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — As a whole, incumbents won renomination in U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and gubernatorial nomination
New polls: Tight Senate races across the Sun Belt Tags 2018 Governor2018 Senate September 19, 2018 A series of new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls found close races in the key Senate battlegrounds of
Introduction: The 2018 Midterm Election Forecasts Tags 2018 House2018 Senate September 13, 2018 Editor’s Note: In an effort to provide as broad a view as possible to readers about different methods of forecasting
The Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2018 Midterm Congressional Elections Tags 2018 House2018 Senate September 13, 2018 The Seats-in-Trouble model of party seat change in national congressional elections (both on-year and midterms) is a hybrid election forecasting